Economic activity indexes are indexes which attempt to provide an overall look at the state of the economy.

Last Updated: Mar 10 2023, 10:06 EST Next Release: Apr 17 2023, 10:00 EDT

The Business Formation Statistics provide timely and high frequency information on new business applications and formations in the United States.

Major Business Formation Statistics Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 27 2023, 08:33 EST Next Release: May 30 2023, 08:30 EDT

The balance of international payments covers all economic transactions between Canadian residents and non-residents in three accounts: the current account, the capital account and the financial account.

Major Canada Balance of International Payments Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Canada Balance of Taxes Q4 2022 3.506B CAD 9.22%
Canada Balance on Commercial Services Q4 2022 296.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Compensation of Employees Q4 2022 -1.494B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods Q4 2022 1.672B CAD -32.42%
Canada Balance on Goods and Services Q4 2022 -2.781B CAD --
Canada Balance on Government Services Q4 2022 -70.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Investment Income Q4 2022 -5.275B CAD --
Canada Balance on Primary Income Q4 2022 -6.768B CAD --
Canada Balance on Services Q4 2022 -4.453B CAD --
Canada Balance on Transportation Q4 2022 -3.874B CAD --
Canada Balance on Travel Q4 2022 -805.00M CAD --
Canada Current Account Balance Q4 2022 -10.64B CAD --
Last Updated: Mar 23 2023, 08:32 EDT Next Release: Apr 24 2023, 08:30 EDT

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Major Chicago Fed National Activity Report Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 23 2023, 10:01 EDT Next Release: Apr 24 2023, 10:00 EDT

The Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions (CFSEC) is a survey of organizations located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District, which is served by the Chicago Fed. The Chicago Fed produces diffusion indexes based on the quantitative questions in the survey.

Major Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 8 2023, 00:00 EST Next Release: Mar 27 2023, 01:00 EDT (R)

The Index of Business Conditions are summary measures for aggregate economic activity. They are designed to be a useful tool for analyzing current conditions, and for forecasting future economic conditions.

Major ESRI Index of Business Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 27 2023, 10:01 EST Next Release: Mar 23 2023, 05:00 EDT

The European Economic Sentiment Indicator is a part of the business and consumer surveys conducted by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs for different sectors of the economies in the European Union and in the applicant countries.

Major European Economic Sentiment Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Belgium Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 88.90 1.72%
Czech Republic Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 92.00 3.95%
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Indicator Feb 2023 -19.00 --
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 99.70 -0.10%
Eurozone Industry Confidence Indicator Feb 2023 0.50 -58.33%
France Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 97.10 -1.52%
Germany Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 97.90 0.10%
Greece Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 107.50 1.51%
Italy Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 102.50 0.00%
Netherlands Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 97.50 3.07%
Poland Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 89.80 -0.22%
Portugal Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 102.90 4.47%
Spain Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2023 99.50 -1.97%
Last Updated: Mar 22 2023, 22:59 EDT Next Release: Apr 5 2023, 06:00 EDT

The Business Confidence Indicator provides information on future developments, based upon opinion surveys on developments in production, orders and stocks of finished goods in the industry sector. It can be used to monitor output growth and to anticipate turning points in economic activity. Numbers above 100 suggest an increased confidence in near future business performance, and numbers below 100 indicate pessimism towards future performance.

Major OECD Business Confidence Indicators Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 7 2023, 08:48 EST Next Release: --

The OECD system of composite leading indicators was developed in the 1970’s to give early signals of turning points of economic activity. This information is of prime importance for economists, businesses and policy makers to enable timely analysis of the current and short-term economic situation.

Major OECD Composite Leading Indicators Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Composite Leading Indicator: Canada Feb 2023 96.93 -0.14%
Composite Leading Indicator: China Feb 2023 98.60 -0.02%
Composite Leading Indicator: France Feb 2023 97.69 -0.15%
Composite Leading Indicator: G20 Feb 2023 98.53 -0.04%
Composite Leading Indicator: Germany Feb 2023 98.56 0.09%
Composite Leading Indicator: Italy Feb 2023 97.07 0.08%
Composite Leading Indicator: Japan Feb 2023 99.84 -0.03%
Composite Leading Indicator: Spain Feb 2023 98.27 0.05%
Composite Leading Indicator: United Kingdom Feb 2023 95.14 0.06%
Composite Leading Indicator: United States Feb 2023 98.45 -0.03%
Last Updated: Mar 22 2023, 23:00 EDT Next Release: Apr 5 2023, 06:00 EDT

The Consumer Confidence Indicator provides an indication of future developments of households’ consumption and saving, based upon answers regarding their expected financial situation, their sentiment about the general economic situation, unemployment and capability of savings. An indicator above 100 signals a boost in the consumers’ confidence towards the future economic situation, as a consequence of which they are less prone to save, and more inclined to spend money on major purchases in the next 12 months. Values below 100 indicate a pessimistic attitude towards future developments in the economy, possibly resulting in a tendency to save more and consume less.

Major OECD Consumer Confidence Indicators Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 1 2023, 11:17 EST Next Release: --

The Office of Economic Analysis provides objective forecasts of the state's economy, revenue, population, corrections population, and Youth Authority population. These forecasts are used by the Governor, the Legislature, state agencies, and the public to achieve their goals.

Major Oregon Economic Forecast Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Oregon Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2032 105.30K USD 1.02%
Oregon Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2032 122.55K 0.04%
Oregon Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 133.02K -0.12%
Oregon Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 352.79K 0.17%
Oregon Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 27.52K -0.04%
Oregon Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 106.30K -0.07%
Oregon Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 310.09K 0.08%
Oregon Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2032 22.63K -0.80%
Oregon Information Employment Forecast Q4 2032 38.38K 0.05%
Oregon Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 195.21K -0.10%
Oregon Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 62.19K -0.05%
Oregon Personal Income Forecast Q4 2032 455.15B USD 1.23%
Oregon Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 1.812M 0.13%
Oregon Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 318.35K 0.35%
Oregon Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 2.122M 0.12%
Oregon Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 367.95K 0.01%
US Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2032 109.25K USD 0.92%
US Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2032 7.837M 0.26%
US Consumer Price Index Forecast Q4 2032 369.45 0.53%
US Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 7.088M -0.14%
US Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 26.56M 0.21%
US Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 2.906M 0.00%
US Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 9.142M -0.04%
US GDP Deflator Forecast Q4 2032 162.07 0.57%
US GDP Forecast Q4 2032 23.56T 2012 USD 0.43%
US Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 23.82M 0.10%
US Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2032 1.346M 0.02%
US Industrial Production Forecast Q4 2032 114.90 0.23%
US Information Employment Forecast Q4 2032 3.044M 0.02%
US Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 11.54M -0.16%
US Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 4.456M -0.20%
US Personal Income Deflator Forecast Q4 2032 152.50 0.49%
US Personal Income Forecast Q4 2032 33.97T USD 1.03%
US Prime Rate Forecast Q4 2032 5.75% 0.01%
US Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 133.13M 0.08%
US Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 24.64M 0.27%
US Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 156.95M 0.08%
US Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 27.04M -0.04%
Last Updated: Jan 27 2023, 10:05 EST Next Release: Mar 29 2023, 10:00 EDT

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states. The Bank issues a release each month describing recent trends in the state indexes, with special coverage of the three states in the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Coincident Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Coincident Index Dec 2022 133.90 -0.03%
Philly Fed New Jersey Coincident Index Dec 2022 136.35 0.27%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Coincident Index Dec 2022 128.02 0.46%
Philly Fed US Coincident Index Dec 2022 136.72 0.27%
Last Updated: Apr 14 2020, 10:01 EDT Next Release: Mar 29 2023, 10:00 EDT

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces leading indexes monthly and are usually released a week after the release of the coincident indexes. The Bank issues a release each month describing the current and future economic situation of the 50 states with special coverage of the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Leading Index Feb 2020 1.91% 37.92%
Philly Fed New Jersey Leading Index Feb 2020 1.19% -4.77%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Leading Index Feb 2020 0.90% 44.66%
Philly Fed US Leading Index Feb 2020 1.72% 9.25%
Last Updated: Mar 21 2023, 08:31 EDT Next Release: Apr 25 2023, 08:30 EDT

The Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (NBOS) is a monthly survey of nonmanufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District. Participants indicate the direction of change in overall business activity and in the various measures of activity at their firms, including new orders, sales or revenues, employment, prices, and capital expenditures. Respondents also provide their assessments of general business conditions over the next six months.

Major Philly Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 10 2023, 11:54 EST Next Release: Apr 7 2023, 10:00 EDT

Major Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Feb 2023 0.00% --
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Feb 2023 0.00% --
Last Updated: Mar 14 2023, 10:15 EDT Next Release: Apr 11 2023, 10:00 EDT

NFIB Research Center has collected Small Business Economic Trends Data with Quarterly surveys since 1973 and monthly surveys since 1986. The sample is drawn from the membership files of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

Major Small Business Optimism Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Small Business Optimism Index Feb 2023 90.90 0.66%
Small Business Outlook: Business Conditions Feb 2023 -47.00% --
Small Business Outlook: Expansion Feb 2023 6.00% -14.29%
Small Business Uncertainty Index Feb 2023 71.00 -6.58%
Last Updated: Mar 10 2023, 16:36 EST Next Release: --

The Texas Business-Cycle Index is published monthly and calculated using payroll employment, gross state product, and the unemployment rate.

Major Texas Business-Cycle Indexes Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 12 2023, 20:05 EDT Next Release: --

The Texas Leading Index provides information on the future of Texas's economy. It is comprised of eight leading indicators which tend to change direction before the overall economy. These indicators include the Texas value of the dollar, the US leading index, real oil price, well permits, initial claims for unemployment insurance, the Texas stock index, help-wanted index, and the average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Texas Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Texas Leading Index Jan 2023 130.28 0.22%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average 2022 134.67 4.91%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average YoY 2022 4.91% -64.00%
Texas Leading Index Change from Previous Year 2022 -4.21% Chg Yr --
Last Updated: Mar 9 2023, 11:28 EST Next Release: Apr 1 2023, 10:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Chauvet and Piger) are the smoothed probabilities of a recession in the US. They are calculated from a dynamic-factor Markov-switching model on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production index, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Jan 2023 0.90% -36.62%
Last Updated: Mar 13 2023, 20:17 EDT Next Release: Apr 1 2023, 11:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Feb 2024 54.49% -4.63%
Last Updated: Mar 23 2023, 11:34 EDT Next Release: Mar 30 2023, 11:30 EDT

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Weekly Economic Index (WEI) Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Weekly Economic Index Mar 18 2023 1.06 11.58%
Last Updated: Mar 16 2023, 08:44 EDT Next Release: --

The World Economic Outlook from the IMF contains data concerning the debt, lending and borrowing of major nations around the world.

Major World Economic Outlook Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 21 2023, 06:07 EDT Next Release: Apr 18 2023, 05:00 EDT

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. It is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic for the German economy in six months.

Major ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany Mar 2023 13.00 -53.74%

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