Economic activity indexes are indexes which attempt to provide an overall look at the state of the economy.

Last Updated: May 11 2022, 10:04 EDT Next Release: Jun 9 2022, 10:00 EDT

The Business Formation Statistics provide timely and high frequency information on new business applications and formations in the United States.

Major Business Formation Statistics Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 28 2022, 09:46 EST Next Release: May 30 2022, 08:30 EDT

The balance of international payments covers all economic transactions between Canadian residents and non-residents in three accounts: the current account, the capital account and the financial account.

Major Canada Balance of International Payments Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Canada Balance of Taxes Q4 2021 3.094B CAD 3.34%
Canada Balance on Commercial Services Q4 2021 1.77B CAD 198.5%
Canada Balance on Compensation of Employees Q4 2021 -1.097B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods Q4 2021 2.829B CAD 40.19%
Canada Balance on Goods and Services Q4 2021 2.373B CAD 274.9%
Canada Balance on Government Services Q4 2021 -4.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Investment Income Q4 2021 -1.107B CAD --
Canada Balance on Primary Income Q4 2021 -2.204B CAD --
Canada Balance on Services Q4 2021 -456.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Transportation Q4 2021 -3.556B CAD --
Canada Balance on Travel Q4 2021 1.334B CAD 4.22%
Canada Current Account Balance Q4 2021 -797.00M CAD --
Last Updated: Apr 25 2022, 08:31 EDT Next Release: May 23 2022, 08:30 EDT

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Major Chicago Fed National Activity Report Indicators

Last Updated: May 11 2022, 11:42 EDT Next Release: Jun 10 2022, 10:00 EDT

The Chicago Fed Survey of Business Conditions is a survey of business contacts located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. The Chicago Fed produces diffusion indexes based on the quantitative questions in the survey.

Major Chicago Fed Survey of Business Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: May 11 2022, 01:05 EDT Next Release: May 25 2022, 01:00 EDT (R)

The Index of Business Conditions are summary measures for aggregate economic activity. They are designed to be a useful tool for analyzing current conditions, and for forecasting future economic conditions.

Major ESRI Index of Business Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: May 2 2022, 12:25 EDT Next Release: May 30 2022, 04:00 EDT

The European Economic Sentiment Indicator is a part of the business and consumer surveys conducted by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs for different sectors of the economies in the European Union and in the applicant countries.

Major European Economic Sentiment Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Belgium Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 98.90 -8.17%
Czech Republic Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 91.00 -8.36%
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Indicator Mar 2022 -18.70 --
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 108.50 -4.74%
Eurozone Industry Confidence Indicator Mar 2022 10.40 -26.24%
France Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 105.70 -6.29%
Germany Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 109.20 -3.79%
Greece Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 113.20 -0.70%
Italy Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 109.00 -2.33%
Netherlands Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 103.30 0.49%
Poland Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 97.30 -2.99%
Portugal Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 105.10 -3.67%
Spain Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 2022 104.80 -5.84%
Last Updated: May 10 2022, 06:03 EDT Next Release: Jun 13 2022, 06:00 EDT

The OECD system of composite leading indicators was developed in the 1970’s to give early signals of turning points of economic activity. This information is of prime importance for economists, businesses and policy makers to enable timely analysis of the current and short-term economic situation.

Major OECD Composite Leading Indicators Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Composite Leading Indicator: Canada Apr 2022 100.03 -0.05%
Composite Leading Indicator: China Apr 2022 99.39 -0.00%
Composite Leading Indicator: Eurozone Apr 2022 100.09 -0.18%
Composite Leading Indicator: France Apr 2022 99.11 -0.20%
Composite Leading Indicator: Germany Apr 2022 100.30 -0.17%
Composite Leading Indicator: Italy Apr 2022 100.20 -0.23%
Composite Leading Indicator: Japan Apr 2022 100.60 0.02%
Composite Leading Indicator: OECD Apr 2022 100.16 -0.07%
Composite Leading Indicator: Spain Apr 2022 100.48 -0.15%
Composite Leading Indicator: United Kingdom Apr 2022 100.03 -0.31%
Composite Leading Indicator: United States Apr 2022 100.15 0.07%
Last Updated: May 18 2022, 10:58 EDT Next Release: --

The Office of Economic Analysis provides objective forecasts of the state's economy, revenue, population, corrections population, and Youth Authority population. These forecasts are used by the Governor, the Legislature, state agencies, and the public to achieve their goals.

Major Oregon Economic Forecast Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Oregon Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2031 101.16K USD 0.98%
Oregon Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2032 117.98K 0.10%
Oregon Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 135.59K -0.06%
Oregon Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 352.25K 0.23%
Oregon Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 28.15K -0.02%
Oregon Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 104.80K -0.01%
Oregon Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 315.07K 0.11%
Oregon Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2032 22.56K -0.33%
Oregon Information Employment Forecast Q4 2032 38.05K 0.02%
Oregon Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 200.68K 0.01%
Oregon Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 65.09K 0.15%
Oregon Personal Income Forecast Q4 2032 449.70B USD 1.16%
Oregon Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 1.824M 0.12%
Oregon Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 325.26K 0.20%
Oregon Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 2.139M 0.12%
Oregon Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 380.45K 0.01%
US Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2032 111.50K USD 0.92%
US Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2032 8.007M 0.29%
US Consumer Price Index Forecast Q4 2032 360.00 0.54%
US Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 7.792M -0.02%
US Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 27.01M 0.27%
US Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 2.88M 0.00%
US Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 8.838M 0.01%
US GDP Deflator Forecast Q4 2032 158.27 0.53%
US GDP Forecast Q4 2032 25.15T 2012 USD 0.45%
US Government Employment Forecast Q4 2032 23.90M 0.11%
US Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2032 1.304M 0.10%
US Industrial Production Forecast Q4 2032 126.32 0.30%
US Information Employment Forecast Q4 2032 2.985M 0.05%
US Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 12.34M -0.02%
US Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2032 4.544M -0.02%
US Personal Income Deflator Forecast Q4 2032 150.54 0.49%
US Personal Income Forecast Q4 2032 35.14T USD 1.03%
US Prime Rate Forecast Q4 2032 5.75% 0.02%
US Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 137.90M 0.11%
US Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2032 25.16M 0.18%
US Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2032 161.80M 0.11%
US Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2032 27.29M 0.04%
Last Updated: Apr 20 2022, 10:00 EDT Next Release: May 25 2022, 10:00 EDT

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states. The Bank issues a release each month describing recent trends in the state indexes, with special coverage of the three states in the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Coincident Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Coincident Index Mar 2022 132.28 0.68%
Philly Fed New Jersey Coincident Index Mar 2022 132.62 1.14%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Coincident Index Mar 2022 122.63 0.71%
Philly Fed US Coincident Index Mar 2022 133.07 0.45%
Last Updated: Apr 14 2020, 10:01 EDT Next Release: May 25 2022, 10:00 EDT

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces leading indexes monthly and are usually released a week after the release of the coincident indexes. The Bank issues a release each month describing the current and future economic situation of the 50 states with special coverage of the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Leading Index Feb 2020 1.91% 37.92%
Philly Fed New Jersey Leading Index Feb 2020 1.19% -4.77%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Leading Index Feb 2020 0.90% 44.66%
Philly Fed US Leading Index Feb 2020 1.72% 9.25%
Last Updated: Apr 26 2022, 08:36 EDT Next Release: May 24 2022, 08:30 EDT

The Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (NBOS) is a monthly survey of nonmanufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District. Participants indicate the direction of change in overall business activity and in the various measures of activity at their firms, including new orders, sales or revenues, employment, prices, and capital expenditures. Respondents also provide their assessments of general business conditions over the next six months.

Major Philly Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey Indicators

Last Updated: May 20 2022, 10:03 EDT Next Release: --

The Texas Business-Cycle Index is published monthly and calculated using payroll employment, gross state product, and the unemployment rate.

Major Texas Business-Cycle Indexes Indicators

Last Updated: May 1 2022, 10:02 EDT Next Release: --

The Texas Leading Index provides information on the future of Texas's economy. It is comprised of eight leading indicators which tend to change direction before the overall economy. These indicators include the Texas value of the dollar, the US leading index, real oil price, well permits, initial claims for unemployment insurance, the Texas stock index, help-wanted index, and the average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Texas Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Texas Leading Index Mar 2022 141.17 2.74%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average 2021 128.39 13.65%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average YoY 2021 13.65% --
Texas Leading Index Change from Previous Year 2021 15.05% Chg Yr --
Last Updated: May 1 2022, 10:02 EDT Next Release: Jun 1 2022, 10:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Chauvet and Piger) are the smoothed probabilities of a recession in the US. They are calculated from a dynamic-factor Markov-switching model on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production index, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Mar 2022 0.18% 350.0%
Last Updated: May 1 2022, 11:02 EDT Next Release: Jun 1 2022, 11:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Mar 2023 5.49% -10.57%
Last Updated: May 19 2022, 11:30 EDT Next Release: May 26 2022, 11:30 EDT

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Weekly Economic Index (WEI) Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Weekly Economic Index May 14 2022 4.14 -3.50%
Last Updated: Apr 22 2022, 00:01 EDT Next Release: --

The World Economic Outlook from the IMF contains data concerning the debt, lending and borrowing of major nations around the world.

Major World Economic Outlook Indicators

Last Updated: May 10 2022, 05:12 EDT Next Release: Jun 14 2022, 05:00 EDT

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. It is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic for the German economy in six months.

Major ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany May 2022 -34.30 --

Upcoming Reports

Report Name Next Released
Chicago Fed National Activity Report May 23 2022, 08:30 EDT
Philly Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey May 24 2022, 08:30 EDT
ESRI Index of Business Conditions May 25 2022, 01:00 EDT (R)
Philly Fed Coincident Index May 25 2022, 10:00 EDT
Philly Fed Leading Index May 25 2022, 10:00 EDT
Weekly Economic Index (WEI) May 26 2022, 11:30 EDT
European Economic Sentiment Indicator May 30 2022, 04:00 EDT
Canada Balance of International Payments May 30 2022, 08:30 EDT
US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger Jun 1 2022, 10:00 EDT
US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Jun 1 2022, 11:00 EDT