US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM)
17.63% for Apr 2027
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
US Recession Probability is at 17.63%, compared to 18.80% last month and 30.45% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 15.29%. |
Stats
| Last Value | 17.63% |
| Latest Period | Apr 2027 |
| Last Updated | May 5 2026, 11:00 EDT |
| Next Release | Jun 5 2026, 11:00 EDT (E) |
| Long Term Average | 15.29% |
| Average Growth Rate | 87.90% |
| Value from Last Month | 18.80% |
| Change from Last Month | -6.23% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 30.45% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -42.11% |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| April 30, 2027 | 17.63% |
| March 31, 2027 | 18.80% |
| February 28, 2027 | 20.73% |
| January 31, 2027 | 18.78% |
| December 31, 2026 | 20.36% |
| November 30, 2026 | 25.05% |
| October 31, 2026 | 26.51% |
| September 30, 2026 | 27.42% |
| August 31, 2026 | 28.85% |
| July 31, 2026 | 28.95% |
| June 30, 2026 | 28.72% |
| May 31, 2026 | 28.30% |
| April 30, 2026 | 30.45% |
| March 31, 2026 | 30.22% |
| February 28, 2026 | 27.01% |
| January 31, 2026 | 23.18% |
| December 31, 2025 | 29.40% |
| November 30, 2025 | 33.56% |
| October 31, 2025 | 42.05% |
| September 30, 2025 | 57.06% |
| August 31, 2025 | 61.79% |
| July 31, 2025 | 56.29% |
| June 30, 2025 | 55.83% |
| May 31, 2025 | 51.82% |
| April 30, 2025 | 50.04% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| March 31, 2025 | 58.31% |
| February 28, 2025 | 58.31% |
| January 31, 2025 | 61.47% |
| December 31, 2024 | 62.94% |
| November 30, 2024 | 51.84% |
| October 31, 2024 | 46.11% |
| September 30, 2024 | 56.16% |
| August 31, 2024 | 60.83% |
| July 31, 2024 | 66.01% |
| June 30, 2024 | 67.31% |
| May 31, 2024 | 70.85% |
| April 30, 2024 | 68.22% |
| March 31, 2024 | 57.77% |
| February 29, 2024 | 54.49% |
| January 31, 2024 | 57.13% |
| December 31, 2023 | 47.31% |
| November 30, 2023 | 38.06% |
| October 31, 2023 | 26.03% |
| September 30, 2023 | 23.07% |
| August 31, 2023 | 25.15% |
| July 31, 2023 | 17.63% |
| June 30, 2023 | 5.93% |
| May 31, 2023 | 4.11% |
| April 30, 2023 | 3.71% |
| March 31, 2023 | 5.49% |
News
Headline
Time (ET)
05/05 06:46
04/30 06:41
04/24 06:31
04/20 06:32
04/17 06:50
04/17 06:09
04/16 06:22
04/14 13:14
04/14 06:34
Basic Info
|
US Recession Probability is at 17.63%, compared to 18.80% last month and 30.45% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 15.29%. |
Stats
| Last Value | 17.63% |
| Latest Period | Apr 2027 |
| Last Updated | May 5 2026, 11:00 EDT |
| Next Release | Jun 5 2026, 11:00 EDT (E) |
| Long Term Average | 15.29% |
| Average Growth Rate | 87.90% |
| Value from Last Month | 18.80% |
| Change from Last Month | -6.23% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 30.45% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -42.11% |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File |