US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM)
55.83% for Jun 2025
Level Chart
Basic Info
US Recession Probability is at 55.83%, compared to 51.82% last month and 67.31% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 14.85%. |
Stats
Last Value | 55.83% |
Latest Period | Jun 2025 |
Last Updated | Jul 8 2024, 09:01 EDT |
Next Release | Aug 5 2024, 11:00 EDT |
Long Term Average | 14.85% |
Average Growth Rate | 91.87% |
Value from Last Month | 51.82% |
Change from Last Month | 7.74% |
Value from 1 Year Ago | 67.31% |
Change from 1 Year Ago | -17.05% |
Frequency | Monthly |
Unit | Percent |
Adjustment | N/A |
Download Source File | Upgrade |
Historical Data
Date | Value |
---|---|
June 30, 2025 | 55.83% |
May 31, 2025 | 51.82% |
April 30, 2025 | 50.04% |
March 31, 2025 | 58.31% |
February 28, 2025 | 58.31% |
January 31, 2025 | 61.47% |
December 31, 2024 | 62.94% |
November 30, 2024 | 51.84% |
October 31, 2024 | 46.11% |
September 30, 2024 | 56.16% |
August 31, 2024 | 60.83% |
July 31, 2024 | 66.01% |
June 30, 2024 | 67.31% |
May 31, 2024 | 70.85% |
April 30, 2024 | 68.22% |
March 31, 2024 | 57.77% |
February 29, 2024 | 54.49% |
January 31, 2024 | 57.13% |
December 31, 2023 | 47.31% |
November 30, 2023 | 38.06% |
October 31, 2023 | 26.03% |
September 30, 2023 | 23.07% |
August 31, 2023 | 25.15% |
July 31, 2023 | 17.63% |
June 30, 2023 | 5.93% |
Date | Value |
---|---|
May 31, 2023 | 4.11% |
April 30, 2023 | 3.71% |
March 31, 2023 | 5.49% |
February 28, 2023 | 6.14% |
January 31, 2023 | 6.04% |
December 31, 2022 | 7.70% |
November 30, 2022 | 6.83% |
October 31, 2022 | 6.66% |
September 30, 2022 | 8.46% |
August 31, 2022 | 9.49% |
July 31, 2022 | 9.06% |
June 30, 2022 | 7.08% |
May 31, 2022 | 6.11% |
April 30, 2022 | 5.95% |
March 31, 2022 | 6.26% |
February 28, 2022 | 9.59% |
January 31, 2022 | 12.19% |
December 31, 2021 | 14.36% |
November 30, 2021 | 15.24% |
October 31, 2021 | 16.62% |
September 30, 2021 | 18.59% |
August 31, 2021 | 18.93% |
July 31, 2021 | 19.98% |
June 30, 2021 | 18.60% |
May 31, 2021 | 19.11% |
News
Headline
Wire
Time (ET)
MT Newswires
07/19 14:15
MT Newswires
07/16 14:35
MT Newswires
07/09 16:16
Basic Info
US Recession Probability is at 55.83%, compared to 51.82% last month and 67.31% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 14.85%. |
Stats
Last Value | 55.83% |
Latest Period | Jun 2025 |
Last Updated | Jul 8 2024, 09:01 EDT |
Next Release | Aug 5 2024, 11:00 EDT |
Long Term Average | 14.85% |
Average Growth Rate | 91.87% |
Value from Last Month | 51.82% |
Change from Last Month | 7.74% |
Value from 1 Year Ago | 67.31% |
Change from 1 Year Ago | -17.05% |
Frequency | Monthly |
Unit | Percent |
Adjustment | N/A |
Download Source File | Upgrade |