Level Chart

Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 5.95%, compared to 6.26% last month and 19.46% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 13.83%.

Stats

Last Value 5.95%
Latest Period Apr 2022
Last Updated Jun 1 2021, 11:05 EDT
Next Release Jul 1 2021, 11:00 EDT
Long Term Average 13.83%
Average Growth Rate 90.62%
Value from 1 Year Ago 19.46%
Change from 1 Year Ago -69.39%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
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Historical Data

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Date Value
April 30, 2022 5.95%
March 31, 2022 6.26%
February 28, 2022 9.59%
January 31, 2022 12.19%
December 31, 2021 14.36%
November 30, 2021 15.24%
October 31, 2021 16.62%
September 30, 2021 18.59%
August 31, 2021 18.93%
July 31, 2021 19.98%
June 30, 2021 18.60%
May 31, 2021 19.11%
April 30, 2021 19.46%
March 31, 2021 18.47%
February 28, 2021 30.73%
January 31, 2021 25.20%
December 31, 2020 23.62%
November 30, 2020 24.61%
October 31, 2020 29.04%
September 30, 2020 34.80%
August 31, 2020 37.93%
July 31, 2020 31.48%
June 30, 2020 32.88%
May 31, 2020 29.62%
April 30, 2020 27.49%
Date Value
March 31, 2020 27.08%
February 29, 2020 24.62%
January 31, 2020 23.62%
December 31, 2019 21.35%
November 30, 2019 15.77%
October 31, 2019 14.12%
September 30, 2019 14.51%
August 31, 2019 14.61%
July 31, 2019 13.60%
June 30, 2019 12.51%
May 31, 2019 11.12%
April 30, 2019 11.21%
March 31, 2019 10.84%
February 28, 2019 9.14%
January 31, 2019 10.41%
December 31, 2018 11.46%
November 30, 2018 10.95%
October 31, 2018 9.04%
September 30, 2018 10.33%
August 31, 2018 9.99%
July 31, 2018 9.45%
June 30, 2018 9.87%
May 31, 2018 7.83%
April 30, 2018 7.01%
March 31, 2018 5.18%

Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 5.95%, compared to 6.26% last month and 19.46% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 13.83%.

Stats

Last Value 5.95%
Latest Period Apr 2022
Last Updated Jun 1 2021, 11:05 EDT
Next Release Jul 1 2021, 11:00 EDT
Long Term Average 13.83%
Average Growth Rate 90.62%
Value from 1 Year Ago 19.46%
Change from 1 Year Ago -69.39%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
Download Source File Download