Level Chart

Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 61.47%, compared to 62.94% last month and 57.13% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 14.60%.

Stats

Last Value 61.47%
Latest Period Jan 2025
Last Updated Feb 5 2024, 11:03 EST
Next Release Mar 5 2024, 11:00 EST
Long Term Average 14.60%
Average Growth Rate 92.58%
Value from Last Month 62.94%
Change from Last Month -2.33%
Value from 1 Year Ago 57.13%
Change from 1 Year Ago 7.60%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
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Historical Data

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Date Value
January 31, 2025 61.47%
December 31, 2024 62.94%
November 30, 2024 51.84%
October 31, 2024 46.11%
September 30, 2024 56.16%
August 31, 2024 60.83%
July 31, 2024 66.01%
June 30, 2024 67.31%
May 31, 2024 70.85%
April 30, 2024 68.22%
March 31, 2024 57.77%
February 29, 2024 54.49%
January 31, 2024 57.13%
December 31, 2023 47.31%
November 30, 2023 38.06%
October 31, 2023 26.03%
September 30, 2023 23.07%
August 31, 2023 25.15%
July 31, 2023 17.63%
June 30, 2023 5.93%
May 31, 2023 4.11%
April 30, 2023 3.71%
March 31, 2023 5.49%
February 28, 2023 6.14%
January 31, 2023 6.04%
Date Value
December 31, 2022 7.70%
November 30, 2022 6.83%
October 31, 2022 6.66%
September 30, 2022 8.46%
August 31, 2022 9.49%
July 31, 2022 9.06%
June 30, 2022 7.08%
May 31, 2022 6.11%
April 30, 2022 5.95%
March 31, 2022 6.26%
February 28, 2022 9.59%
January 31, 2022 12.19%
December 31, 2021 14.36%
November 30, 2021 15.24%
October 31, 2021 16.62%
September 30, 2021 18.59%
August 31, 2021 18.93%
July 31, 2021 19.98%
June 30, 2021 18.60%
May 31, 2021 19.11%
April 30, 2021 19.46%
March 31, 2021 18.47%
February 28, 2021 30.73%
January 31, 2021 25.20%
December 31, 2020 23.62%

Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 61.47%, compared to 62.94% last month and 57.13% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 14.60%.

Stats

Last Value 61.47%
Latest Period Jan 2025
Last Updated Feb 5 2024, 11:03 EST
Next Release Mar 5 2024, 11:00 EST
Long Term Average 14.60%
Average Growth Rate 92.58%
Value from Last Month 62.94%
Change from Last Month -2.33%
Value from 1 Year Ago 57.13%
Change from 1 Year Ago 7.60%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
Download Source File Upgrade