Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 54.49%, compared to 57.13% last month and 6.14% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 13.93%.

Stats

Last Value 54.49%
Latest Period Feb 2024
Last Updated Mar 13 2023, 20:17 EDT
Next Release Apr 1 2023, 11:00 EDT
Long Term Average 13.93%
Average Growth Rate 93.61%
Value from Last Month 57.13%
Change from Last Month -4.63%
Value from 1 Year Ago 6.14%
Change from 1 Year Ago 787.3%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
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Historical Data

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Date Value
February 29, 2024 54.49%
January 31, 2024 57.13%
December 31, 2023 47.31%
November 30, 2023 38.06%
October 31, 2023 26.03%
September 30, 2023 23.07%
August 31, 2023 25.15%
July 31, 2023 17.63%
June 30, 2023 5.93%
May 31, 2023 4.11%
April 30, 2023 3.71%
March 31, 2023 5.49%
February 28, 2023 6.14%
January 31, 2023 6.04%
December 31, 2022 7.70%
November 30, 2022 6.83%
October 31, 2022 6.66%
September 30, 2022 8.46%
August 31, 2022 9.49%
July 31, 2022 9.06%
June 30, 2022 7.08%
May 31, 2022 6.11%
April 30, 2022 5.95%
March 31, 2022 6.26%
February 28, 2022 9.59%
Date Value
January 31, 2022 12.19%
December 31, 2021 14.36%
November 30, 2021 15.24%
October 31, 2021 16.62%
September 30, 2021 18.59%
August 31, 2021 18.93%
July 31, 2021 19.98%
June 30, 2021 18.60%
May 31, 2021 19.11%
April 30, 2021 19.46%
March 31, 2021 18.47%
February 28, 2021 30.73%
January 31, 2021 25.20%
December 31, 2020 23.62%
November 30, 2020 24.61%
October 31, 2020 29.04%
September 30, 2020 34.80%
August 31, 2020 37.93%
July 31, 2020 31.48%
June 30, 2020 32.88%
May 31, 2020 29.62%
April 30, 2020 27.49%
March 31, 2020 27.08%
February 29, 2020 24.62%
January 31, 2020 23.62%

Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 54.49%, compared to 57.13% last month and 6.14% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 13.93%.

Stats

Last Value 54.49%
Latest Period Feb 2024
Last Updated Mar 13 2023, 20:17 EDT
Next Release Apr 1 2023, 11:00 EDT
Long Term Average 13.93%
Average Growth Rate 93.61%
Value from Last Month 57.13%
Change from Last Month -4.63%
Value from 1 Year Ago 6.14%
Change from 1 Year Ago 787.3%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
Download Source File Upgrade