US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM)
54.49% for Feb 2024
Basic Info
US Recession Probability is at 54.49%, compared to 57.13% last month and 6.14% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 13.93%. |
Stats
Last Value | 54.49% |
Latest Period | Feb 2024 |
Last Updated | Mar 13 2023, 20:17 EDT |
Next Release | Apr 1 2023, 11:00 EDT |
Long Term Average | 13.93% |
Average Growth Rate | 93.61% |
Value from Last Month | 57.13% |
Change from Last Month | -4.63% |
Value from 1 Year Ago | 6.14% |
Change from 1 Year Ago | 787.3% |
Frequency | Monthly |
Unit | Percent |
Adjustment | N/A |
Download Source File | Upgrade |
Historical Data
Date | Value |
---|---|
February 29, 2024 | 54.49% |
January 31, 2024 | 57.13% |
December 31, 2023 | 47.31% |
November 30, 2023 | 38.06% |
October 31, 2023 | 26.03% |
September 30, 2023 | 23.07% |
August 31, 2023 | 25.15% |
July 31, 2023 | 17.63% |
June 30, 2023 | 5.93% |
May 31, 2023 | 4.11% |
April 30, 2023 | 3.71% |
March 31, 2023 | 5.49% |
February 28, 2023 | 6.14% |
January 31, 2023 | 6.04% |
December 31, 2022 | 7.70% |
November 30, 2022 | 6.83% |
October 31, 2022 | 6.66% |
September 30, 2022 | 8.46% |
August 31, 2022 | 9.49% |
July 31, 2022 | 9.06% |
June 30, 2022 | 7.08% |
May 31, 2022 | 6.11% |
April 30, 2022 | 5.95% |
March 31, 2022 | 6.26% |
February 28, 2022 | 9.59% |
Date | Value |
---|---|
January 31, 2022 | 12.19% |
December 31, 2021 | 14.36% |
November 30, 2021 | 15.24% |
October 31, 2021 | 16.62% |
September 30, 2021 | 18.59% |
August 31, 2021 | 18.93% |
July 31, 2021 | 19.98% |
June 30, 2021 | 18.60% |
May 31, 2021 | 19.11% |
April 30, 2021 | 19.46% |
March 31, 2021 | 18.47% |
February 28, 2021 | 30.73% |
January 31, 2021 | 25.20% |
December 31, 2020 | 23.62% |
November 30, 2020 | 24.61% |
October 31, 2020 | 29.04% |
September 30, 2020 | 34.80% |
August 31, 2020 | 37.93% |
July 31, 2020 | 31.48% |
June 30, 2020 | 32.88% |
May 31, 2020 | 29.62% |
April 30, 2020 | 27.49% |
March 31, 2020 | 27.08% |
February 29, 2020 | 24.62% |
January 31, 2020 | 23.62% |
Basic Info
US Recession Probability is at 54.49%, compared to 57.13% last month and 6.14% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 13.93%. |
Stats
Last Value | 54.49% |
Latest Period | Feb 2024 |
Last Updated | Mar 13 2023, 20:17 EDT |
Next Release | Apr 1 2023, 11:00 EDT |
Long Term Average | 13.93% |
Average Growth Rate | 93.61% |
Value from Last Month | 57.13% |
Change from Last Month | -4.63% |
Value from 1 Year Ago | 6.14% |
Change from 1 Year Ago | 787.3% |
Frequency | Monthly |
Unit | Percent |
Adjustment | N/A |
Download Source File | Upgrade |