Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (I:RSRRI)
-0.03% for Jul 2026
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator is at -0.03%, compared to 0.07% last month and 0.10% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.42%. |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
Stats
| Last Value | -0.03% |
| Latest Period | Jul 2026 |
| Last Updated | Aug 7 2026, 10:04 EDT |
| Next Release | Sep 4 2026, 10:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 0.42% |
| Average Growth Rate | -137.0% |
| Value from Last Month | 0.07% |
| Change from Last Month | N/A |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.10% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | N/A |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| July 31, 2026 | -0.03% |
| June 30, 2026 | 0.07% |
| May 31, 2026 | 0.10% |
| April 30, 2026 | 0.13% |
| March 31, 2026 | 0.20% |
| February 28, 2026 | 0.27% |
| January 31, 2026 | 0.30% |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.35% |
| November 30, 2025 | 0.43% |
| September 30, 2025 | 0.23% |
| August 31, 2025 | 0.13% |
| July 31, 2025 | 0.10% |
| June 30, 2025 | 0.17% |
| May 31, 2025 | 0.27% |
| April 30, 2025 | 0.27% |
| March 31, 2025 | 0.27% |
| February 28, 2025 | 0.27% |
| January 31, 2025 | 0.37% |
| December 31, 2024 | 0.40% |
| November 30, 2024 | 0.43% |
| October 31, 2024 | 0.43% |
| September 30, 2024 | 0.50% |
| August 31, 2024 | 0.57% |
| July 31, 2024 | 0.53% |
| June 30, 2024 | 0.43% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| May 31, 2024 | 0.37% |
| April 30, 2024 | 0.37% |
| March 31, 2024 | 0.30% |
| February 29, 2024 | 0.27% |
| January 31, 2024 | 0.20% |
| December 31, 2023 | 0.23% |
| November 30, 2023 | 0.30% |
| October 31, 2023 | 0.33% |
| September 30, 2023 | 0.20% |
| August 31, 2023 | 0.13% |
| July 31, 2023 | 0.10% |
| June 30, 2023 | 0.07% |
| May 31, 2023 | 0.03% |
| April 30, 2023 | 0.00% |
| March 31, 2023 | 0.00% |
| February 28, 2023 | 0.00% |
| January 31, 2023 | -0.07% |
| December 31, 2022 | 0.03% |
| November 30, 2022 | 0.07% |
| October 31, 2022 | 0.07% |
| September 30, 2022 | 0.00% |
| August 31, 2022 | 0.03% |
| July 31, 2022 | -0.03% |
| June 30, 2022 | 0.00% |
| May 31, 2022 | -0.07% |
News
Headline
Time (ET)
08/04 17:18
08/04 13:30
Basic Info
|
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator is at -0.03%, compared to 0.07% last month and 0.10% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.42%. |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
Stats
| Last Value | -0.03% |
| Latest Period | Jul 2026 |
| Last Updated | Aug 7 2026, 10:04 EDT |
| Next Release | Sep 4 2026, 10:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 0.42% |
| Average Growth Rate | -137.0% |
| Value from Last Month | 0.07% |
| Change from Last Month | N/A |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.10% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | N/A |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |