Median Forecasts for PCE Inflation Rate (I:MFPCEIR)
2.39% for Q1 2027
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
Median Forecasts for PCE Inflation Rate is at 2.39%, compared to 2.50% last quarter and 2.92% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 2.12%. |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
Stats
| Last Value | 2.39% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2027 |
| Last Updated | Mar 13 2026, 14:24 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 2.12% |
| Average Growth Rate | 50.85% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 2.50% |
| Change from Last Quarter | -4.57% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 2.92% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -18.25% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate |
| Download Source File | |
| Notes | PCE Forecasts for the headline chain-weighted PCE inflation rate. Quarterly forecasts are annualized quarter-over-quarter percent changes of the quarterly average price index level. The quarterly price index level is the quarterly average of the underlying monthly price index levels. First survey to include this variable: 2007:Q1. Data always shows the latest forecast. |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 2.39% |
| December 31, 2026 | 2.50% |
| September 30, 2026 | 2.53% |
| June 30, 2026 | 2.71% |
| March 31, 2026 | 2.92% |
| December 31, 2025 | 2.90% |
| September 30, 2025 | 2.80% |
| June 30, 2025 | 2.10% |
| March 31, 2025 | 2.30% |
| December 31, 2024 | 1.50% |
| September 30, 2024 | 2.60% |
| June 30, 2024 | 3.40% |
| March 31, 2024 | 1.70% |
| December 31, 2023 | 2.90% |
| September 30, 2023 | 2.60% |
| June 30, 2023 | 4.20% |
| March 31, 2023 | 3.20% |
| December 31, 2022 | 4.20% |
| September 30, 2022 | 7.10% |
| June 30, 2022 | 7.00% |
| March 31, 2022 | 6.50% |
| December 31, 2021 | 5.30% |
| September 30, 2021 | 6.40% |
| June 30, 2021 | 3.50% |
| March 31, 2021 | 1.50% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| December 31, 2020 | 3.70% |
| September 30, 2020 | -1.90% |
| June 30, 2020 | 1.30% |
| March 31, 2020 | 1.60% |
| December 31, 2019 | 1.50% |
| September 30, 2019 | 2.30% |
| June 30, 2019 | 0.60% |
| March 31, 2019 | 1.50% |
| December 31, 2018 | 1.60% |
| September 30, 2018 | 1.80% |
| June 30, 2018 | 2.70% |
| March 31, 2018 | 2.80% |
| December 31, 2017 | 1.50% |
| September 30, 2017 | 0.30% |
| June 30, 2017 | 2.40% |
| March 31, 2017 | 2.20% |
| December 31, 2016 | 1.40% |
| September 30, 2016 | 1.90% |
| June 30, 2016 | 0.30% |
| March 31, 2016 | 0.10% |
| December 31, 2015 | 1.20% |
| September 30, 2015 | 2.20% |
| June 30, 2015 | -2.00% |
| March 31, 2015 | -0.50% |
| December 31, 2014 | 1.20% |
News
Headline
Time (ET)
03/19 07:26
03/13 07:41
03/09 08:21
02/20 07:35
Basic Info
|
Median Forecasts for PCE Inflation Rate is at 2.39%, compared to 2.50% last quarter and 2.92% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 2.12%. |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
Stats
| Last Value | 2.39% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2027 |
| Last Updated | Mar 13 2026, 14:24 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 2.12% |
| Average Growth Rate | 50.85% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 2.50% |
| Change from Last Quarter | -4.57% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 2.92% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -18.25% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate |
| Download Source File | |
| Notes | PCE Forecasts for the headline chain-weighted PCE inflation rate. Quarterly forecasts are annualized quarter-over-quarter percent changes of the quarterly average price index level. The quarterly price index level is the quarterly average of the underlying monthly price index levels. First survey to include this variable: 2007:Q1. Data always shows the latest forecast. |