US Recession Probability (I:USRP)
0.84% for Mar 2025
Basic Info
|
US Recession Probability is at 0.84%, compared to 0.18% last month and 0.32% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 9.13%. |
| Report | US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger |
| Category | Economic Sentiment, Outlook and Activity |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Marcelle Chauvet and Jeremy Piger |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.84% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2025 |
| Last Updated | May 1 2025, 11:46 EDT |
| Next Release | Jun 1 2025, 10:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 9.13% |
| Average Growth Rate | 954.8% |
| Value from Last Month | 0.18% |
| Change from Last Month | 366.7% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.32% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | 162.5% |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File | Upgrade |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| March 31, 2025 | 0.84% |
| February 28, 2025 | 0.18% |
| January 31, 2025 | 0.26% |
| December 31, 2024 | 0.20% |
| November 30, 2024 | 0.28% |
| October 31, 2024 | 0.36% |
| September 30, 2024 | 0.38% |
| August 31, 2024 | 0.34% |
| July 31, 2024 | 0.38% |
| June 30, 2024 | 0.28% |
| May 31, 2024 | 0.20% |
| April 30, 2024 | 0.38% |
| March 31, 2024 | 0.32% |
| February 29, 2024 | 0.18% |
| January 31, 2024 | 0.96% |
| December 31, 2023 | 0.30% |
| November 30, 2023 | 0.22% |
| October 31, 2023 | 0.44% |
| September 30, 2023 | 0.18% |
| August 31, 2023 | 0.26% |
| July 31, 2023 | 0.16% |
| June 30, 2023 | 0.24% |
| May 31, 2023 | 0.22% |
| April 30, 2023 | 0.28% |
| March 31, 2023 | 0.50% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| February 28, 2023 | 0.10% |
| January 31, 2023 | 0.08% |
| December 31, 2022 | 0.82% |
| November 30, 2022 | 0.88% |
| October 31, 2022 | 0.36% |
| September 30, 2022 | 0.16% |
| August 31, 2022 | 0.08% |
| July 31, 2022 | 0.02% |
| June 30, 2022 | 0.20% |
| May 31, 2022 | 0.64% |
| April 30, 2022 | 0.32% |
| March 31, 2022 | 0.16% |
| February 28, 2022 | 0.10% |
| January 31, 2022 | 0.32% |
| December 31, 2021 | 0.32% |
| November 30, 2021 | 0.02% |
| October 31, 2021 | 0.00% |
| September 30, 2021 | 0.28% |
| August 31, 2021 | 0.16% |
| July 31, 2021 | 0.30% |
| June 30, 2021 | 0.30% |
| May 31, 2021 | 0.30% |
| April 30, 2021 | 0.40% |
| March 31, 2021 | 0.10% |
| February 28, 2021 | 0.10% |
News
Headline
Wire
Time (ET)
MT Newswires
05/07 11:32
MT Newswires
04/24 10:00
MT Newswires
04/23 15:46
Basic Info
|
US Recession Probability is at 0.84%, compared to 0.18% last month and 0.32% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 9.13%. |
| Report | US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger |
| Category | Economic Sentiment, Outlook and Activity |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Marcelle Chauvet and Jeremy Piger |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.84% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2025 |
| Last Updated | May 1 2025, 11:46 EDT |
| Next Release | Jun 1 2025, 10:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 9.13% |
| Average Growth Rate | 954.8% |
| Value from Last Month | 0.18% |
| Change from Last Month | 366.7% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.32% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | 162.5% |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File | Upgrade |