US Recession Probability (I:USRP)
0.46% for Mar 2024
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
US Recession Probability is at 0.46%, compared to 0.44% last month and 0.48% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 9.30%. |
| Report | US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger |
| Category | Economic Sentiment, Outlook and Activity |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Marcelle Chauvet and Jeremy Piger |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.46% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2024 |
| Last Updated | May 1 2024, 10:01 EDT |
| Next Release | Jun 1 2024, 10:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 9.30% |
| Average Growth Rate | 949.6% |
| Value from Last Month | 0.44% |
| Change from Last Month | 4.55% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.48% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -4.17% |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File | Upgrade |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| March 31, 2024 | 0.46% |
| February 29, 2024 | 0.44% |
| January 31, 2024 | 0.78% |
| December 31, 2023 | 0.54% |
| November 30, 2023 | 0.30% |
| October 31, 2023 | 0.38% |
| September 30, 2023 | 0.30% |
| August 31, 2023 | 0.30% |
| July 31, 2023 | 0.20% |
| June 30, 2023 | 0.50% |
| May 31, 2023 | 0.42% |
| April 30, 2023 | 0.32% |
| March 31, 2023 | 0.48% |
| February 28, 2023 | 0.40% |
| January 31, 2023 | 0.32% |
| December 31, 2022 | 1.88% |
| November 30, 2022 | 1.56% |
| October 31, 2022 | 1.04% |
| September 30, 2022 | 0.42% |
| August 31, 2022 | 0.30% |
| July 31, 2022 | 0.24% |
| June 30, 2022 | 0.34% |
| May 31, 2022 | 0.50% |
| April 30, 2022 | 0.28% |
| March 31, 2022 | 0.16% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| February 28, 2022 | 0.10% |
| January 31, 2022 | 0.32% |
| December 31, 2021 | 0.32% |
| November 30, 2021 | 0.02% |
| October 31, 2021 | 0.00% |
| September 30, 2021 | 0.28% |
| August 31, 2021 | 0.16% |
| July 31, 2021 | 0.30% |
| June 30, 2021 | 0.30% |
| May 31, 2021 | 0.30% |
| April 30, 2021 | 0.40% |
| March 31, 2021 | 0.10% |
| February 28, 2021 | 0.10% |
| January 31, 2021 | 0.10% |
| December 31, 2020 | 0.10% |
| November 30, 2020 | 0.60% |
| October 31, 2020 | 0.20% |
| September 30, 2020 | 0.20% |
| August 31, 2020 | 0.10% |
| July 31, 2020 | 0.20% |
| June 30, 2020 | 0.20% |
| May 31, 2020 | 0.20% |
| April 30, 2020 | 100.0% |
| March 31, 2020 | 100.0% |
| February 29, 2020 | 0.30% |
Basic Info
|
US Recession Probability is at 0.46%, compared to 0.44% last month and 0.48% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 9.30%. |
| Report | US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger |
| Category | Economic Sentiment, Outlook and Activity |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Marcelle Chauvet and Jeremy Piger |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.46% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2024 |
| Last Updated | May 1 2024, 10:01 EDT |
| Next Release | Jun 1 2024, 10:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 9.30% |
| Average Growth Rate | 949.6% |
| Value from Last Month | 0.44% |
| Change from Last Month | 4.55% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.48% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -4.17% |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File | Upgrade |