Level Chart

Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 1.22%, compared to 0.14% last month and 0.36% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 8.74%.

Stats

Last Value 1.22%
Latest Period Aug 2022
Last Updated Oct 1 2022, 10:01 EDT
Next Release Nov 1 2022, 10:00 EDT
Long Term Average 8.74%
Average Growth Rate 3.02K%
Value from Last Month 0.14%
Change from Last Month 771.4%
Value from 1 Year Ago 0.36%
Change from 1 Year Ago 238.9%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
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Historical Data

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Date Value
August 31, 2022 1.22%
July 31, 2022 0.14%
June 30, 2022 0.34%
May 31, 2022 0.18%
April 30, 2022 0.06%
March 31, 2022 0.16%
February 28, 2022 0.00%
January 31, 2022 0.04%
December 31, 2021 0.12%
November 30, 2021 0.06%
October 31, 2021 0.00%
September 30, 2021 0.42%
August 31, 2021 0.36%
July 31, 2021 0.04%
June 30, 2021 0.08%
May 31, 2021 0.26%
April 30, 2021 0.38%
March 31, 2021 0.00%
February 28, 2021 0.00%
January 31, 2021 0.00%
December 31, 2020 0.08%
November 30, 2020 0.24%
October 31, 2020 0.08%
September 30, 2020 0.06%
August 31, 2020 0.00%
Date Value
July 31, 2020 0.14%
June 30, 2020 0.02%
May 31, 2020 0.04%
April 30, 2020 100.0%
March 31, 2020 100.0%
February 29, 2020 0.10%
January 31, 2020 0.26%
December 31, 2019 0.70%
November 30, 2019 0.32%
October 31, 2019 1.06%
September 30, 2019 0.92%
August 31, 2019 0.28%
July 31, 2019 0.30%
June 30, 2019 0.68%
May 31, 2019 0.80%
April 30, 2019 1.00%
March 31, 2019 1.00%
February 28, 2019 1.06%
January 31, 2019 0.54%
December 31, 2018 0.08%
November 30, 2018 0.10%
October 31, 2018 0.04%
September 30, 2018 0.12%
August 31, 2018 0.00%
July 31, 2018 0.00%

Basic Info

US Recession Probability is at 1.22%, compared to 0.14% last month and 0.36% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 8.74%.

Stats

Last Value 1.22%
Latest Period Aug 2022
Last Updated Oct 1 2022, 10:01 EDT
Next Release Nov 1 2022, 10:00 EDT
Long Term Average 8.74%
Average Growth Rate 3.02K%
Value from Last Month 0.14%
Change from Last Month 771.4%
Value from 1 Year Ago 0.36%
Change from 1 Year Ago 238.9%
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percent
Adjustment N/A
Download Source File Download