US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

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US Recession Probability

Current (Apr 2022) Previous (Mar 2022) % Chg Prev % Chg 1Y
5.95% 6.26% -4.90% -69.39%

Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

Indicator Period Value % Chg Prev
US Recession Probability Apr 2022 5.95% -4.90%
View and sort all 1 US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

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