Federal Reserve Bank of New York

The New York Fed is by far the largest (by assets), most active (by volume) and most influential of the 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks.
http://www.newyorkfed.org/

Business Leaders Survey

Last Updated: Jun 16 2020, 08:34 EDT    Next Release: Jul 16 2020, 08:30 EDT

The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. The survey is sent on the first business day of each month to the same pool of about 150 business executives, usually the president or CEO, in the region's service sector. In a typical month, about 100 responses are received by around the tenth of the month when the survey closes.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Business Activity Jun 2020 -40.00
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Business Climate Jun 2020 -82.30
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Capital Spending Jun 2020 -40.60
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Employment Jun 2020 -43.20
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Prices Paid Jun 2020 20.50 54.14%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Prices Received Jun 2020 -15.00
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Wages Jun 2020 -10.50
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Business Activity Jun 2020 24.80
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Business Climate Jun 2020 13.70
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Capital Spending Jun 2020 -10.70
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Employment Jun 2020 12.80 456.5%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Prices Paid Jun 2020 19.80 24.53%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Prices Received Jun 2020 -3.20
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Wages Jun 2020 5.80 28.89%

Empire State Manufacturing Survey

Last Updated: Jun 15 2020, 08:32 EDT    Next Release: Jul 15 2020, 08:30 EDT

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey is produced each month by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It provides an indication of how manufacturing activity in the state economy. The survey is sent on the first day of each month to the same group of about 200 manufacturing executives. The New York Fed then calculates diffusion indexes based on their responses covering all facets of manufacturing: general conditions, new orders, employees, capital investment, and more.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
Empire State Manufacturing Delivery Times Index Jun 2020 -12.50
Empire State Manufacturing Employee Workweek Index Jun 2020 -12.00
Empire State Manufacturing Employees Index Jun 2020 -3.50
Empire State Manufacturing Future Capital Expenditures Index Jun 2020 3.10
Empire State Manufacturing Future Delivery Time Index Jun 2020 1.90
Empire State Manufacturing Future Employee Work Week Index Jun 2020 5.00 -38.27%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Employees Index Jun 2020 19.00 82.69%
Empire State Manufacturing Future General Business Conditions Index Jun 2020 56.50 94.16%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Inventories Index Jun 2020 0.60
Empire State Manufacturing Future New Orders Index Jun 2020 52.90 51.14%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Prices Paid Index Jun 2020 25.60 26.11%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Prices Received Index Jun 2020 7.50 275.0%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Shipments Index Jun 2020 53.10 59.46%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Technology Spending Index Jun 2020 6.30
Empire State Manufacturing Future Unfilled Orders Index Jun 2020 -5.60
Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index Jun 2020 -0.20
Empire State Manufacturing Inventories Index Jun 2020 1.30
Empire State Manufacturing New Orders Index Jun 2020 -0.60
Empire State Manufacturing Prices Paid Index Jun 2020 16.90 312.2%
Empire State Manufacturing Prices Received Index Jun 2020 -0.60
Empire State Manufacturing Shipments Index Jun 2020 3.30
Empire State Manufacturing Unfilled Orders Index Jun 2020 -0.60

Household Debt and Credit Report

Last Updated: May 12 2020, 08:33 EDT    Next Release: Aug 11 2020, 08:30 EDT

The Household Debt and Credit Report provides unique data and insight into the credit conditions and activity of U.S. consumers. Based on data from the New York Fed's Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data, the report provides a quarterly snapshot of household trends in borrowing and indebtedness, including data about mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans and delinquencies.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Auto Loan Debt Q1 2020 1.346T USD 1.13%
US Credit Card Accounts Delinquent by 90 or More Days Q1 2020 9.09% 8.73%
US Credit Card Debt Q1 2020 0.893T USD -3.67%
US Mortgage Debt Q1 2020 9.713T USD 1.63%
US Mortgage Originations Q1 2020 661.67B USD -12.01%
US Mortgages Delinquent by 90 or More Days Q1 2020 1.06% -0.93%
US Student Loan Debt Q1 2020 1.535T USD 1.79%
US Total Household Debt Q1 2020 14.30T USD 1.10%

Index of Coincident Economic Indicators

Last Updated: Oct 15 2018, 22:00 EDT    Next Release: N/A

The Index of Coincident Economic Indicators from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is a single summary statistic for the current state of the economy. It is calculated using data on employment, real earnings, the unemployment rate, and average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
New Jersey Coincident Economic Index(DISCONTINUED) Aug 2018 144.68 0.30%
New York City Coincident Economic Index(DISCONTINUED) Aug 2018 220.02 0.28%
New York Coincident Economic Index(DISCONTINUED) Aug 2018 165.99 0.47%

Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data

Last Updated: Jul 2 2020, 08:04 EDT    Next Release: Jul 6 2020, 08:00 EDT

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate is a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by Treasury securities

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
Secured Overnight Financing Rate Jul 01 2020 0.11% 10.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate Volume Jul 01 2020 1.003T USD 3.40%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 1st Percentile Jul 01 2020 0.06% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 25th Percentile Jul 01 2020 0.07% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 75th Percentile Jul 01 2020 0.13% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 99th Percentile Jul 01 2020 0.19% -5.00%

Survey of Consumer Expectations

Last Updated: Jul 1 2020, 09:03 EDT    Next Release: N/A

The Survey of Consumer Expectations collects information on consumers' expectations and decisions on a broad variety of topics, including but not limited to inflation, household finance, the labor market, and the housing market.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Change in Credit Availability From One Year Ago - Much Easier May 2020 2.79% -25.20%
US Change in Credit Availability From One Year Ago - Much Harder May 2020 11.72% -8.08%
US Debt Delinquency Expectations May 2020 12.55% -22.29%
US Expectations of Higher Interest Rate on Savings Accounts May 2020 28.19% -4.92%
US Expectations of Higher Stock Prices May 2020 49.61% -4.30%
US Expectations of Higher Unemployment May 2020 38.92% -18.18%
US Expected Change in Credit Availability One Year From Now - Much Easier May 2020 2.07% -17.86%
US Expected Change in Credit Availability One Year From Now - Much Harder May 2020 9.50% -12.12%
US Expected Household Financial Situation One Year From Now - Much Better Off May 2020 3.96% 7.03%
US Expected Household Financial Situation One Year From Now - Much Worse Off May 2020 3.07% -24.38%
US Household Financial Situation From One Year Ago - Much Better Off May 2020 2.58% 9.32%
US Household Financial Situation From One Year Ago - Much Worse Off May 2020 5.75% -32.91%
US Job Finding Expectations May 2020 48.31% 2.90%
US Job Separation Expectations - Leaving a Job May 2020 19.14% 10.57%
US Job Separation Expectations - Losing a Job May 2020 18.65% -10.89%
US One-Year Ahead Earnings Growth Expectations May 2020 2.00% 10.50%
US One-Year Ahead Household Income Growth Expectations May 2020 2.06% 10.16%
US One-Year Ahead Household Spending Growth Expectations May 2020 2.93% 33.18%
US One-Year Ahead Inflation Expectations May 2020 3.00% 14.50%
US Three-Year Ahead Inflation Expectations May 2020 2.61% -0.38%

US Natural Rate of Interest

Last Updated: May 29 2020, 12:58 EDT    Next Release: Aug 28 2020, 08:00 EDT

Natural Rate of Interest data is used to extract trends in US economic growth.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Natural Rate of Interest Q1 2020 0.84% 3.71%
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap Q1 2020 -0.26%
US Natural Rate of Interest Trend Growth Q1 2020 2.29% -0.07%

US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin

Last Updated: Jul 1 2020, 11:04 EDT    Next Release: Aug 1 2020, 11:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Recession Probability May 2021 19.11% -1.79%

US Underlying Inflation Gauge

Last Updated: Jun 12 2020, 14:30 EDT    Next Release: Jul 14 2020, 14:30 EDT

The UIG captures sustained movements in inflation from information contained in a broad set of price, real activity, and financial data.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Full Data Set Measure May 2020 1.15% -10.86%
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Prices-Only Measure May 2020 1.86% 4.34%

Weekly Economic Index (WEI)

Last Updated: Jul 2 2020, 11:33 EDT    Next Release: Jul 7 2020, 11:30 EDT

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Weekly Economic Index Jun 27 2020 -7.44

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