Federal Reserve Bank of New York

The New York Fed is by far the largest (by assets), most active (by volume) and most influential of the 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks.
http://www.newyorkfed.org/

Business Leaders Survey

Last Updated: Jul 16 2021, 08:31 EDT    Next Release: Aug 17 2021, 08:30 EDT

The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. Participants from the service sector respond to a questionnaire and report on a variety of indicators, both in terms of recent and expected changes. 

The survey is sent on the first business day of each month to the same pool of about 150 business executives, usually the president or CEO, in the region's service sector. In a typical month, about 100 responses are received by around the tenth of the month when the survey closes.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Business Activity Jul 2021 41.70 -3.47%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Business Climate Jul 2021 6.50 550.0%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Capital Spending Jul 2021 10.90 419.0%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Employment Jul 2021 16.80 -15.58%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Prices Paid Jul 2021 68.10 -4.35%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Prices Received Jul 2021 32.10 24.42%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Wages Jul 2021 41.80 9.42%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Business Activity Jul 2021 59.90 -9.24%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Business Climate Jul 2021 52.70 -8.51%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Capital Spending Jul 2021 25.40 -15.89%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Employment Jul 2021 50.30 5.67%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Prices Paid Jul 2021 69.00 -10.85%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Prices Received Jul 2021 41.20 -10.04%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Wages Jul 2021 59.10 1.55%

Empire State Manufacturing Survey

Last Updated: Jul 15 2021, 09:19 EDT    Next Release: Aug 16 2021, 08:30 EDT

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey is produced each month by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It provides an indication of manufacturing activity in the state economy. The survey is sent on the first day of each month to the same group of about 200 manufacturing executives. The New York Fed then calculates diffusion indexes based on their responses covering all facets of manufacturing: general conditions, new orders, employees, capital investment, and more.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
Empire State Manufacturing Delivery Times Index Jul 2021 20.20 -32.21%
Empire State Manufacturing Employee Workweek Index Jul 2021 14.00 -7.28%
Empire State Manufacturing Employees Index Jul 2021 20.60 67.48%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Delivery Time Index Jul 2021 5.10 96.15%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Employee Workweek Index Jul 2021 3.00 -81.01%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Employees Index Jul 2021 43.90 5.28%
Empire State Manufacturing Future General Business Conditions Index Jul 2021 39.50 -17.19%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Inventories Index Jul 2021 9.10 -26.02%
Empire State Manufacturing Future New Orders Index Jul 2021 34.20 -23.15%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Prices Paid Index Jul 2021 64.60 0.94%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Prices Received Index Jul 2021 57.60 26.32%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Shipments Index Jul 2021 39.30 -16.56%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Unfilled Orders Index Jul 2021 1.00
Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index Jul 2021 43.00 147.1%
Empire State Manufacturing Inventories Index Jul 2021 16.20
Empire State Manufacturing New Orders Index Jul 2021 33.20 103.7%
Empire State Manufacturing Prices Paid Index Jul 2021 76.80 -3.76%
Empire State Manufacturing Prices Received Index Jul 2021 39.40 18.32%
Empire State Manufacturing Shipments Index Jul 2021 43.80 208.5%
Empire State Manufacturing Unfilled Orders Index Jul 2021 12.10 53.16%

Household Debt and Credit Report

Last Updated: May 12 2021, 11:05 EDT    Next Release: Aug 10 2021, 04:30 EDT

The Household Debt and Credit Report provides unique data and insight into the credit conditions and activity of U.S. consumers. Based on data from the New York Fed's Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data, the report provides a quarterly snapshot of household trends in borrowing and indebtedness, including data about mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans and delinquencies.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Auto Loan Debt Q1 2021 1.382T USD 0.58%
US Credit Card Accounts Delinquent by 90 or More Days Q1 2021 9.98% 6.62%
US Credit Card Debt Q1 2021 0.77T USD -5.98%
US Mortgage Debt Q1 2021 10.16T USD 1.16%
US Mortgage Originations Q1 2021 1.138T USD -3.08%
US Mortgages Delinquent by 90 or More Days Q1 2021 0.59% -4.84%
US Student Loan Debt Q1 2021 1.584T USD 1.86%
US Total Household Debt Q1 2021 14.64T USD 0.58%

Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data

Last Updated: Jul 22 2021, 08:04 EDT    Next Release: Jul 26 2021, 08:00 EDT

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate is a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by Treasury securities

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
Secured Overnight Financing Rate Jul 22 2021 0.05% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate Volume Jul 22 2021 849.00B USD -7.01%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 1st Percentile Jul 22 2021 0.01%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 25th Percentile Jul 22 2021 0.04% 33.33%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 75th Percentile Jul 22 2021 0.05% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 99th Percentile Jul 22 2021 0.15% 0.00%

Survey of Consumer Expectations

Last Updated: Jul 1 2021, 09:02 EDT    Next Release: N/A

The Survey of Consumer Expectations collects information on consumers' expectations and decisions on a broad variety of topics, including but not limited to inflation, household finance, the labor market, and the housing market.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Change in Credit Availability From One Year Ago - Much Easier May 2021 3.23% 34.82%
US Change in Credit Availability From One Year Ago - Much Harder May 2021 8.03% 12.03%
US Debt Delinquency Expectations May 2021 9.69% -3.18%
US Expectations of Higher Interest Rate on Savings Accounts May 2021 29.33% 2.24%
US Expectations of Higher Stock Prices May 2021 40.75% -3.85%
US Expectations of Higher Unemployment May 2021 31.90% -7.77%
US Expected Change in Credit Availability One Year From Now - Much Easier May 2021 2.54% 18.83%
US Expected Change in Credit Availability One Year From Now - Much Harder May 2021 7.34% 11.82%
US Expected Household Financial Situation One Year From Now - Much Better Off May 2021 5.57% 6.20%
US Expected Household Financial Situation One Year From Now - Much Worse Off May 2021 3.99% 21.48%
US Household Financial Situation From One Year Ago - Much Better Off May 2021 6.00% 7.59%
US Household Financial Situation From One Year Ago - Much Worse Off May 2021 4.24% 7.35%
US Job Finding Expectations May 2021 53.99% 8.39%
US Job Separation Expectations - Leaving a Job May 2021 18.72% -2.06%
US Job Separation Expectations - Losing a Job May 2021 12.61% -16.05%
US One-Year Ahead Earnings Growth Expectations May 2021 2.54% 21.07%
US One-Year Ahead Household Income Growth Expectations May 2021 2.84% 18.40%
US One-Year Ahead Household Spending Growth Expectations May 2021 5.00% 8.03%
US One-Year Ahead Inflation Expectations May 2021 4.00% 19.04%
US Three-Year Ahead Inflation Expectations May 2021 3.57% 15.22%

US Natural Rate of Interest

Last Updated: Aug 28 2020, 10:58 EDT    Next Release:

Natural Rate of Interest data is used to extract trends in US economic growth.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Natural Rate of Interest Q2 2020 0.36% -69.15%
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap Q2 2020 -12.17%
US Natural Rate of Interest Trend Growth Q2 2020 2.36% 0.35%

US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin

Last Updated: Jul 1 2021, 11:05 EDT    Next Release: Aug 1 2021, 11:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Recession Probability May 2022 6.11% 2.54%

US Underlying Inflation Gauge

Last Updated: Jul 13 2021, 14:34 EDT    Next Release: Aug 11 2021, 14:30 EDT

The UIG captures sustained movements in inflation from information contained in a broad set of price, real activity, and financial data.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Full Data Set Measure Jun 2021 3.46% 7.54%
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Prices-Only Measure Jun 2021 3.41% 6.13%

Weekly Economic Index (WEI)

Last Updated: Jul 22 2021, 11:30 EDT    Next Release: Jul 27 2021, 11:30 EDT

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Weekly Economic Index Jul 17 2021 8.73 1.63%

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