Federal Reserve Bank of New York

The New York Fed is by far the largest (by assets), most active (by volume) and most influential of the 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks.
http://www.newyorkfed.org/

Business Leaders Survey

Last Updated: Sep 16 2020, 08:31 EDT    Next Release: Oct 16 2020, 08:30 EDT

The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. The survey is sent on the first business day of each month to the same pool of about 150 business executives, usually the president or CEO, in the region's service sector. In a typical month, about 100 responses are received by around the tenth of the month when the survey closes.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Business Activity Sep 2020 -5.40
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Business Climate Sep 2020 -66.50
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Capital Spending Sep 2020 -25.00
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Employment Sep 2020 -7.80
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Prices Paid Sep 2020 28.60 2.14%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Prices Received Sep 2020 1.50
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Current Wages Sep 2020 7.40 164.3%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Business Activity Sep 2020 6.80
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Business Climate Sep 2020 -5.40
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Capital Spending Sep 2020 -10.00
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Employment Sep 2020 -0.50
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Prices Paid Sep 2020 36.20 18.69%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Prices Received Sep 2020 8.00 135.3%
NY Fed Business Leaders Survey Future Wages Sep 2020 20.70 269.6%

Empire State Manufacturing Survey

Last Updated: Sep 15 2020, 08:33 EDT    Next Release: Oct 15 2020, 08:30 EDT

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey is produced each month by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It provides an indication of how manufacturing activity in the state economy. The survey is sent on the first day of each month to the same group of about 200 manufacturing executives. The New York Fed then calculates diffusion indexes based on their responses covering all facets of manufacturing: general conditions, new orders, employees, capital investment, and more.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
Empire State Manufacturing Delivery Times Index Sep 2020 -9.40
Empire State Manufacturing Employee Workweek Index Sep 2020 6.70
Empire State Manufacturing Employees Index Sep 2020 2.60 8.33%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Capital Expenditures Index Sep 2020 18.70 211.7%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Delivery Time Index Sep 2020 -3.60
Empire State Manufacturing Future Employee Work Week Index Sep 2020 3.60 80.00%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Employees Index Sep 2020 17.20 10.97%
Empire State Manufacturing Future General Business Conditions Index Sep 2020 40.30 17.49%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Inventories Index Sep 2020 -5.80
Empire State Manufacturing Future New Orders Index Sep 2020 39.10 5.11%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Prices Paid Index Sep 2020 33.10 45.81%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Prices Received Index Sep 2020 7.90 -15.05%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Shipments Index Sep 2020 39.00 26.62%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Technology Spending Index Sep 2020 14.40 80.00%
Empire State Manufacturing Future Unfilled Orders Index Sep 2020 0.70
Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index Sep 2020 17.00 359.5%
Empire State Manufacturing Inventories Index Sep 2020 5.00 284.6%
Empire State Manufacturing New Orders Index Sep 2020 7.10
Empire State Manufacturing Prices Paid Index Sep 2020 25.20 57.50%
Empire State Manufacturing Prices Received Index Sep 2020 6.50 38.30%
Empire State Manufacturing Shipments Index Sep 2020 14.10 110.4%
Empire State Manufacturing Unfilled Orders Index Sep 2020 -3.60

Household Debt and Credit Report

Last Updated: Aug 11 2020, 08:33 EDT    Next Release: Nov 17 2020, 08:30 EST

The Household Debt and Credit Report provides unique data and insight into the credit conditions and activity of U.S. consumers. Based on data from the New York Fed's Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data, the report provides a quarterly snapshot of household trends in borrowing and indebtedness, including data about mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans and delinquencies.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Auto Loan Debt Q2 2020 1.343T USD -0.22%
US Credit Card Accounts Delinquent by 90 or More Days Q2 2020 9.75% 7.26%
US Credit Card Debt Q2 2020 0.817T USD -8.51%
US Mortgage Debt Q2 2020 9.776T USD 0.65%
US Mortgage Originations Q2 2020 846.41B USD 27.92%
US Mortgages Delinquent by 90 or More Days Q2 2020 0.84% -20.75%
US Student Loan Debt Q2 2020 1.537T USD 0.13%
US Total Household Debt Q2 2020 14.27T USD -0.24%

Index of Coincident Economic Indicators

Last Updated: Oct 15 2018, 22:00 EDT    Next Release: N/A

The Index of Coincident Economic Indicators from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is a single summary statistic for the current state of the economy. It is calculated using data on employment, real earnings, the unemployment rate, and average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
New Jersey Coincident Economic Index(DISCONTINUED) Aug 2018 144.68 0.30%
New York City Coincident Economic Index(DISCONTINUED) Aug 2018 220.02 0.28%
New York Coincident Economic Index(DISCONTINUED) Aug 2018 165.99 0.47%

Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data

Last Updated: Sep 17 2020, 08:04 EDT    Next Release: Sep 21 2020, 08:00 EDT

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate is a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by Treasury securities

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
Secured Overnight Financing Rate Sep 17 2020 0.10% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate Volume Sep 17 2020 892.00B USD -0.78%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 1st Percentile Sep 17 2020 0.06% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 25th Percentile Sep 17 2020 0.07% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 75th Percentile Sep 17 2020 0.13% 0.00%
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 99th Percentile Sep 17 2020 0.19% 0.00%

Survey of Consumer Expectations

Last Updated: Sep 1 2020, 09:04 EDT    Next Release: N/A

The Survey of Consumer Expectations collects information on consumers' expectations and decisions on a broad variety of topics, including but not limited to inflation, household finance, the labor market, and the housing market.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Change in Credit Availability From One Year Ago - Much Easier Jul 2020 2.28% 72.73%
US Change in Credit Availability From One Year Ago - Much Harder Jul 2020 10.52% 3.95%
US Debt Delinquency Expectations Jul 2020 9.45% -3.37%
US Expectations of Higher Interest Rate on Savings Accounts Jul 2020 27.43% -1.72%
US Expectations of Higher Stock Prices Jul 2020 44.27% -6.27%
US Expectations of Higher Unemployment Jul 2020 39.31% 11.96%
US Expected Change in Credit Availability One Year From Now - Much Easier Jul 2020 2.31% 100.9%
US Expected Change in Credit Availability One Year From Now - Much Harder Jul 2020 7.23% -14.74%
US Expected Household Financial Situation One Year From Now - Much Better Off Jul 2020 2.71% -31.57%
US Expected Household Financial Situation One Year From Now - Much Worse Off Jul 2020 2.99% 133.6%
US Household Financial Situation From One Year Ago - Much Better Off Jul 2020 3.44% 42.74%
US Household Financial Situation From One Year Ago - Much Worse Off Jul 2020 3.73% 12.69%
US Job Finding Expectations Jul 2020 48.93% 2.79%
US Job Separation Expectations - Leaving a Job Jul 2020 18.86% -0.68%
US Job Separation Expectations - Losing a Job Jul 2020 16.00% 6.38%
US One-Year Ahead Earnings Growth Expectations Jul 2020 2.00% 25.00%
US One-Year Ahead Household Income Growth Expectations Jul 2020 2.09% 0.97%
US One-Year Ahead Household Spending Growth Expectations Jul 2020 2.95% 4.24%
US One-Year Ahead Inflation Expectations Jul 2020 2.89% 7.84%
US Three-Year Ahead Inflation Expectations Jul 2020 2.73% 10.53%

US Natural Rate of Interest

Last Updated: Aug 28 2020, 10:58 EDT    Next Release: Nov 30 2020, 08:00 EST

Natural Rate of Interest data is used to extract trends in US economic growth.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Natural Rate of Interest Q2 2020 0.36% -69.15%
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap Q2 2020 -12.17%
US Natural Rate of Interest Trend Growth Q2 2020 2.36% 0.35%

US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin

Last Updated: Sep 1 2020, 11:04 EDT    Next Release: Oct 1 2020, 11:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Recession Probability Jul 2021 19.98% 7.41%

US Underlying Inflation Gauge

Last Updated: Sep 18 2020, 14:31 EDT    Next Release: Oct 13 2020, 14:30 EDT

The UIG captures sustained movements in inflation from information contained in a broad set of price, real activity, and financial data.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Full Data Set Measure Aug 2020 1.28% 13.77%
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Prices-Only Measure Aug 2020 2.12% 5.13%

Weekly Economic Index (WEI)

Last Updated: Sep 17 2020, 11:31 EDT    Next Release: Sep 22 2020, 11:30 EDT

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Indicators from this Report Period Value Chg Prev
US Weekly Economic Index Sep 12 2020 -5.11

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