The New York Fed is by far the largest (by assets), most active (by volume) and most influential of the 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks.
http://www.newyorkfed.org/
The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. Participants from the service sector respond to a questionnaire and report on a variety of indicators, both in terms of recent and expected changes. The survey is sent on the first business day of each month to the same pool of about 150 business executives, usually the president or CEO, in the region's service sector. In a typical month, about 100 responses are received by around the tenth of the month when the survey closes.
Major Business Leaders Survey Indicators
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey is produced each month by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It provides an indication of manufacturing activity in the state economy. The survey is sent on the first day of each month to the same group of about 200 manufacturing executives. The New York Fed then calculates diffusion indexes based on their responses covering all facets of manufacturing: general conditions, new orders, employees, capital investment, and more.
Major Empire State Manufacturing Survey Indicators
Global Supply Chain Pressure Index integrates transportation cost data and manufacturing indicators to provide a gauge of global supply chain conditions.
Major Global Supply Chain Pressure Index Indicators
Indicator | Period | Value | % CHG PREV |
Global Supply Chain Pressure Index | Feb 2023 | -0.2624 | -- |
The Household Debt and Credit Report provides unique data and insight into the credit conditions and activity of U.S. consumers. Based on data from the New York Fed's Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data, the report provides a quarterly snapshot of household trends in borrowing and indebtedness, including data about mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans and delinquencies.
Major Household Debt and Credit Report Indicators
Indicator | Period | Value | % CHG PREV |
US Auto Loan Debt | Q4 2022 | 1.552T USD | 1.84% |
US Credit Card Accounts Delinquent by 90 or More Days | Q4 2022 | 7.67% | 1.05% |
US Credit Card Debt | Q4 2022 | 0.986T USD | 6.59% |
US Mortgage Debt | Q4 2022 | 11.92T USD | 2.18% |
US Mortgage Originations | Q4 2022 | 497.57B USD | -21.33% |
US Mortgages Delinquent by 90 or More Days | Q4 2022 | 0.43% | 16.22% |
US Student Loan Debt | Q4 2022 | 1.595T USD | 1.33% |
US Total Household Debt | Q4 2022 | 16.90T USD | 2.39% |
The Secured Overnight Financing Rate is a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by Treasury securities
Major Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data Indicators
Indicator | Period | Value | % CHG PREV |
Secured Overnight Financing Rate | Mar 23 2023 | 4.80% | 5.49% |
Secured Overnight Financing Rate Volume | Mar 23 2023 | 1.355T USD | 12.64% |
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 1st Percentile | Mar 23 2023 | 4.56% | 1.33% |
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 25th Percentile | Mar 23 2023 | 4.79% | 5.51% |
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 75th Percentile | Mar 23 2023 | 4.84% | 5.68% |
Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 99th Percentile | Mar 23 2023 | 4.88% | 5.40% |
The Survey of Consumer Expectations collects information on consumers' expectations and decisions on a broad variety of topics, including but not limited to inflation, household finance, the labor market, and the housing market.
Major Survey of Consumer Expectations Indicators
Natural Rate of Interest data is used to extract trends in US economic growth.
Major US Natural Rate of Interest Indicators
Indicator | Period | Value | % CHG PREV |
US Natural Rate of Interest | Q2 2020 | 0.36% | -69.15% |
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap | Q2 2020 | -12.17% | -- |
US Natural Rate of Interest Trend Growth | Q2 2020 | 2.36% | 0.35% |
US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.
Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators
Indicator | Period | Value | % CHG PREV |
US Recession Probability | Feb 2024 | 54.49% | -4.63% |
The UIG captures sustained movements in inflation from information contained in a broad set of price, real activity, and financial data.
Major US Underlying Inflation Gauge Indicators
Indicator | Period | Value | % CHG PREV |
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Full Data Set Measure | Feb 2023 | 4.75% | -6.90% |
US Underlying Inflation Gauge: Prices-Only Measure | Feb 2023 | 3.92% | -6.85% |
The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.
Major Weekly Economic Index (WEI) Indicators
Indicator | Period | Value | % CHG PREV |
US Weekly Economic Index | Mar 18 2023 | 1.06 | 11.58% |