10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread:
The 10-2 Treasury Yield Spread is the difference between the 10 year treasury rate and the 2 year treasury rate. A 10-2 treasury spread that approaches 0 signifies a "flattening" yield curve. A negative 10-2 yield spread has historically been viewed as a precursor to a recessionary period. A negative 10-2 spread has predicted every recession from 1955 to 2018, but has occurred 6-24 months before the recession occurring, and is thus seen as a far-leading indicator. The 10-2 spread reached a high of 2.91% in 2011, and went as low as -2.41% in 1980.
10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread is at 0.17%, compared to 0.17% the previous market day and 0.16% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.93%.
- Category: Interest Rates
- Region: United States
- Report: Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates
- Source: Department of the Treasury
Chart
Historical Data
| Data for this Date Range | |
|---|---|
| Feb. 14, 2020 | 0.17% |
| Feb. 13, 2020 | 0.17% |
| Feb. 12, 2020 | 0.18% |
| Feb. 11, 2020 | 0.18% |
| Feb. 10, 2020 | 0.19% |
| Feb. 7, 2020 | 0.18% |
| Feb. 6, 2020 | 0.21% |
| Feb. 5, 2020 | 0.22% |
| Feb. 4, 2020 | 0.20% |
| Feb. 3, 2020 | 0.18% |
| Jan. 31, 2020 | 0.18% |
| Jan. 30, 2020 | 0.16% |
| Jan. 29, 2020 | 0.18% |
| Jan. 28, 2020 | 0.20% |
| Jan. 27, 2020 | 0.17% |
| Jan. 24, 2020 | 0.21% |
| Jan. 23, 2020 | 0.23% |
| Jan. 22, 2020 | 0.24% |
| Jan. 21, 2020 | 0.25% |
| Jan. 17, 2020 | 0.26% |
| Jan. 16, 2020 | 0.23% |
| Jan. 15, 2020 | 0.23% |
| Jan. 14, 2020 | 0.24% |
| Jan. 13, 2020 | 0.27% |
| Jan. 10, 2020 | 0.27% |
| Jan. 9, 2020 | 0.27% |
| Jan. 8, 2020 | 0.29% |
| Jan. 7, 2020 | 0.29% |
| Jan. 6, 2020 | 0.27% |
| Jan. 3, 2020 | 0.27% |
| Jan. 2, 2020 | 0.30% |
| Dec. 31, 2019 | 0.34% |
| Dec. 30, 2019 | 0.32% |
| Dec. 27, 2019 | 0.29% |
| Dec. 26, 2019 | 0.26% |
| Dec. 24, 2019 | 0.28% |
| Dec. 23, 2019 | 0.29% |
| Dec. 20, 2019 | 0.29% |
| Dec. 19, 2019 | 0.30% |
| Dec. 18, 2019 | 0.29% |
| Dec. 17, 2019 | 0.26% |
| Dec. 16, 2019 | 0.24% |
| Dec. 13, 2019 | 0.21% |
| Dec. 12, 2019 | 0.24% |
| Dec. 11, 2019 | 0.18% |
| Dec. 10, 2019 | 0.20% |
| Dec. 9, 2019 | 0.20% |
| Dec. 6, 2019 | 0.23% |
| Dec. 5, 2019 | 0.22% |
| Dec. 4, 2019 | 0.19% |
There is no data for the selected date range.
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Stats
| Last Value | 0.17% |
| Latest Period | Feb 14 2020 |
| Last Updated | Feb 14 2020, 18:05 EST |
| Next Release | |
| Long Term Average | 0.93% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.16% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | 6.25% |
| Frequency | Market Daily |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
Formula: 10 Year Treasury Rate - 2 Year Treasury Rate
Related Indicators
| Treasury Yield Curve | |
|---|---|
| 1 Month Treasury Rate | 1.60% |
| 1 Year Treasury Rate | 1.49% |
| 10 Year Treasury Rate | 1.59% |
| 10 Year-3 Month Treasury Yield Spread | 0.01% |
| 2 Year Treasury Rate | 1.42% |
| 20 Year Treasury Rate | 1.89% |
| 3 Month Treasury Rate | 1.58% |
| 30 Year Treasury Rate | 2.04% |
| 30-10 Year Treasury Yield Spread | 0.45% |
| 5 Year Treasury Rate | 1.42% |
| 6 Month Treasury Rate | 1.56% |
| 7 Year Treasury Rate | 1.51% |
| US Economy | |
| ADP Nonfarm Payrolls MoM | 290.91K |
| Effective Federal Funds Rate | 1.58% |
| US Durable Goods New Orders MoM | 2.37% |
| US Housing Starts MoM | 16.95% |
| US Index of Consumer Sentiment | 100.90 |
| US Inflation Rate | 2.49% |
| US Initial Jobless Claims | 205000.0 |
| US ISM Manufacturing PMI | 50.90 |
| US Real GDP Growth | 2.10% |
| US Retail Sales MoM | 0.14% |
| US Unemployment Rate | 3.60% |
