10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread:
The 10-2 Treasury Yield Spread is the difference between the 10 year treasury rate and the 2 year treasury rate. A 10-2 treasury spread that approaches 0 signifies a "flattening" yield curve. A negative 10-2 yield spread has historically been viewed as a precursor to a recessionary period. A negative 10-2 spread has predicted every recession from 1955 to 2018, but has occurred 6-24 months before the recession occurring, and is thus seen as a far-leading indicator. The 10-2 spread reached a high of 2.91% in 2011, and went as low as -2.41% in 1980.
10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread is at 0.10%, compared to 0.11% the previous market day and 0.21% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.94%.
- Category: Interest Rates
- Region: United States
- Report: Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates
- Source: Department of the Treasury
Chart
Historical Data
| Data for this Date Range | |
|---|---|
| Sept. 16, 2019 | 0.10% |
| Sept. 13, 2019 | 0.11% |
| Sept. 12, 2019 | 0.07% |
| Sept. 11, 2019 | 0.07% |
| Sept. 10, 2019 | 0.05% |
| Sept. 9, 2019 | 0.05% |
| Sept. 6, 2019 | 0.02% |
| Sept. 5, 2019 | 0.02% |
| Sept. 4, 2019 | 0.04% |
| Sept. 3, 2019 | 0.00% |
| Aug. 30, 2019 | 0.00% |
| Aug. 29, 2019 | -0.03% |
| Aug. 28, 2019 | -0.03% |
| Aug. 27, 2019 | -0.04% |
| Aug. 26, 2019 | 0.00% |
| Aug. 23, 2019 | 0.01% |
| Aug. 22, 2019 | 0.01% |
| Aug. 21, 2019 | 0.03% |
| Aug. 20, 2019 | 0.05% |
| Aug. 19, 2019 | 0.07% |
| Aug. 16, 2019 | 0.07% |
| Aug. 15, 2019 | 0.04% |
| Aug. 14, 2019 | 0.01% |
| Aug. 13, 2019 | 0.02% |
| Aug. 12, 2019 | 0.07% |
| Aug. 9, 2019 | 0.11% |
| Aug. 8, 2019 | 0.10% |
| Aug. 7, 2019 | 0.12% |
| Aug. 6, 2019 | 0.13% |
| Aug. 5, 2019 | 0.16% |
| Aug. 2, 2019 | 0.14% |
| Aug. 1, 2019 | 0.17% |
| July 31, 2019 | 0.13% |
| July 30, 2019 | 0.21% |
| July 29, 2019 | 0.21% |
| July 26, 2019 | 0.22% |
| July 25, 2019 | 0.22% |
| July 24, 2019 | 0.22% |
| July 23, 2019 | 0.25% |
| July 22, 2019 | 0.25% |
| July 19, 2019 | 0.25% |
| July 18, 2019 | 0.27% |
| July 17, 2019 | 0.23% |
| July 16, 2019 | 0.26% |
| July 15, 2019 | 0.26% |
| July 12, 2019 | 0.28% |
| July 11, 2019 | 0.28% |
| July 10, 2019 | 0.25% |
| July 9, 2019 | 0.15% |
| July 8, 2019 | 0.17% |
There is no data for the selected date range.
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Stats
| Last Value | 0.10% |
| Latest Period | Sep 16 2019 |
| Last Updated | Sep 17 2019, 00:01 EDT |
| Next Release | |
| Long Term Average | 0.94% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.21% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -52.38% |
| Frequency | Market Daily |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
Formula: 10 Year Treasury Rate - 2 Year Treasury Rate
Related Indicators
| US Economy | |
|---|---|
| ADP Nonfarm Payrolls MoM | 195.40K |
| Effective Federal Funds Rate | 2.25% |
| US Durable Goods New Orders MoM | 2.05% |
| US Housing Starts MoM | -4.03% |
| US Index of Consumer Sentiment | 92.00 |
| US Inflation Rate | 1.75% |
| US Initial Jobless Claims | 204000.0 |
| US ISM Manufacturing PMI | 49.10 |
| US Real GDP Growth | 2.00% Chg Qtr |
| US Retail Sales MoM | 0.58% |
| US Unemployment Rate | 3.70% |
Excel Add-In Codes
- Indicator Code: I:102YTYS
- Indicator Name: =YCI("I:102YTYS","name")
- Data Point Example: =YCP("I:102YTYS")
- Data Series Example: =YCS("I:102YTYS",,-4)
To find the codes for any of our financial metrics, see our Complete Reference of Metric Codes.
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