US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap (I:USNRIOG)
0.55% for Q2 2025
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap is at 0.55%, compared to 1.03% last quarter and 1.93% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.59%. |
| Report | US Natural Rate of Interest |
| Category | Interest Rates |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.55% |
| Latest Period | Jun 2025 |
| Last Updated | Nov 28 2025, 08:02 EST |
| Next Release | Dec 29 2025, 08:00 EST |
| Long Term Average | 0.59% |
| Average Growth Rate | -177.6% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 1.03% |
| Change from Last Quarter | -46.04% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 1.93% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -71.37% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File | Upgrade |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| June 30, 2025 | 0.55% |
| March 31, 2025 | 1.03% |
| December 31, 2024 | 1.08% |
| September 30, 2024 | 1.33% |
| June 30, 2024 | 1.93% |
| March 31, 2024 | 2.64% |
| December 31, 2023 | 2.74% |
| September 30, 2023 | 3.55% |
| June 30, 2023 | 4.71% |
| March 31, 2023 | 5.30% |
| December 31, 2022 | 5.51% |
| September 30, 2022 | 5.73% |
| June 30, 2022 | 6.22% |
| March 31, 2022 | 7.45% |
| December 31, 2021 | 7.69% |
| September 30, 2021 | 7.39% |
| June 30, 2021 | 7.65% |
| March 31, 2021 | 7.23% |
| December 31, 2020 | 6.58% |
| September 30, 2020 | 5.83% |
| June 30, 2020 | -0.43% |
| March 31, 2020 | 2.98% |
| December 31, 2019 | 3.06% |
| September 30, 2019 | 3.09% |
| June 30, 2019 | 3.15% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| March 31, 2019 | 3.41% |
| December 31, 2018 | 3.42% |
| September 30, 2018 | 3.55% |
| June 30, 2018 | 3.87% |
| March 31, 2018 | 4.02% |
| December 31, 2017 | 3.70% |
| September 30, 2017 | 3.42% |
| June 30, 2017 | 3.85% |
| March 31, 2017 | 4.03% |
| December 31, 2016 | 3.96% |
| September 30, 2016 | 2.67% |
| June 30, 2016 | 2.73% |
| March 31, 2016 | 2.47% |
| December 31, 2015 | 2.05% |
| September 30, 2015 | 2.16% |
| June 30, 2015 | 2.13% |
| March 31, 2015 | 1.42% |
| December 31, 2014 | 1.32% |
| September 30, 2014 | 1.26% |
| June 30, 2014 | 1.02% |
| March 31, 2014 | 0.61% |
| December 31, 2013 | 0.90% |
| September 30, 2013 | 0.51% |
| June 30, 2013 | 0.18% |
| March 31, 2013 | 0.21% |
News
Headline
Time (ET)
12/03 07:11
12/01 06:03
11/21 16:22
11/21 05:56
11/17 05:43
Basic Info
|
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap is at 0.55%, compared to 1.03% last quarter and 1.93% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.59%. |
| Report | US Natural Rate of Interest |
| Category | Interest Rates |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.55% |
| Latest Period | Jun 2025 |
| Last Updated | Nov 28 2025, 08:02 EST |
| Next Release | Dec 29 2025, 08:00 EST |
| Long Term Average | 0.59% |
| Average Growth Rate | -177.6% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 1.03% |
| Change from Last Quarter | -46.04% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 1.93% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -71.37% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File | Upgrade |