US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap (I:USNRIOG)
1.35% for Q1 2026
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap is at 1.35%, compared to 0.96% last quarter and 1.39% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 0.62%. |
| Report | US Natural Rate of Interest |
| Category | Interest Rates |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
Stats
| Last Value | 1.35% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2026 |
| Last Updated | Aug 27 2026, 08:02 EDT |
| Next Release | Nov 27 2026, 08:00 EST |
| Long Term Average | 0.62% |
| Average Growth Rate | -176.8% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 0.96% |
| Change from Last Quarter | 40.59% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 1.39% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -2.57% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| March 31, 2026 | 1.35% |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.96% |
| September 30, 2025 | 1.16% |
| June 30, 2025 | 1.00% |
| March 31, 2025 | 1.39% |
| December 31, 2024 | 1.63% |
| September 30, 2024 | 1.94% |
| June 30, 2024 | 2.50% |
| March 31, 2024 | 3.27% |
| December 31, 2023 | 3.31% |
| September 30, 2023 | 4.09% |
| June 30, 2023 | 5.23% |
| March 31, 2023 | 5.76% |
| December 31, 2022 | 6.00% |
| September 30, 2022 | 6.21% |
| June 30, 2022 | 6.66% |
| March 31, 2022 | 7.78% |
| December 31, 2021 | 7.90% |
| September 30, 2021 | 7.63% |
| June 30, 2021 | 7.84% |
| March 31, 2021 | 7.32% |
| December 31, 2020 | 6.62% |
| September 30, 2020 | 5.84% |
| June 30, 2020 | -0.38% |
| March 31, 2020 | 3.21% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| December 31, 2019 | 2.96% |
| September 30, 2019 | 2.88% |
| June 30, 2019 | 3.15% |
| March 31, 2019 | 3.41% |
| December 31, 2018 | 3.42% |
| September 30, 2018 | 3.55% |
| June 30, 2018 | 3.87% |
| March 31, 2018 | 4.02% |
| December 31, 2017 | 3.70% |
| September 30, 2017 | 3.42% |
| June 30, 2017 | 3.85% |
| March 31, 2017 | 4.03% |
| December 31, 2016 | 3.96% |
| September 30, 2016 | 2.67% |
| June 30, 2016 | 2.73% |
| March 31, 2016 | 2.47% |
| December 31, 2015 | 2.05% |
| September 30, 2015 | 2.16% |
| June 30, 2015 | 2.13% |
| March 31, 2015 | 1.42% |
| December 31, 2014 | 1.32% |
| September 30, 2014 | 1.26% |
| June 30, 2014 | 1.02% |
| March 31, 2014 | 0.61% |
| December 31, 2013 | 0.90% |
News
Headline
Time (ET)
09/04 15:02
09/04 12:25
09/01 17:17
09/01 15:52
09/01 13:26
Basic Info
|
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap is at 1.35%, compared to 0.96% last quarter and 1.39% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 0.62%. |
| Report | US Natural Rate of Interest |
| Category | Interest Rates |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
Stats
| Last Value | 1.35% |
| Latest Period | Mar 2026 |
| Last Updated | Aug 27 2026, 08:02 EDT |
| Next Release | Nov 27 2026, 08:00 EST |
| Long Term Average | 0.62% |
| Average Growth Rate | -176.8% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 0.96% |
| Change from Last Quarter | 40.59% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 1.39% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -2.57% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File |