US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap (I:USNRIOG)
0.67% for Q4 2025
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap is at 0.67%, compared to 0.82% last quarter and 1.25% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 0.59%. |
| Report | US Natural Rate of Interest |
| Category | Interest Rates |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.67% |
| Latest Period | Dec 2025 |
| Last Updated | May 29 2026, 08:01 EDT |
| Next Release | Aug 27 2026, 08:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 0.59% |
| Average Growth Rate | -170.6% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 0.82% |
| Change from Last Quarter | -18.25% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 1.25% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -46.42% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | 0.67% |
| September 30, 2025 | 0.82% |
| June 30, 2025 | 0.65% |
| March 31, 2025 | 1.02% |
| December 31, 2024 | 1.25% |
| September 30, 2024 | 1.54% |
| June 30, 2024 | 2.08% |
| March 31, 2024 | 2.83% |
| December 31, 2023 | 2.87% |
| September 30, 2023 | 3.63% |
| June 30, 2023 | 4.76% |
| March 31, 2023 | 5.29% |
| December 31, 2022 | 5.55% |
| September 30, 2022 | 5.78% |
| June 30, 2022 | 6.28% |
| March 31, 2022 | 7.44% |
| December 31, 2021 | 7.61% |
| September 30, 2021 | 7.38% |
| June 30, 2021 | 7.62% |
| March 31, 2021 | 7.12% |
| December 31, 2020 | 6.43% |
| September 30, 2020 | 5.65% |
| June 30, 2020 | -0.56% |
| March 31, 2020 | 2.93% |
| December 31, 2019 | 2.96% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| September 30, 2019 | 2.88% |
| June 30, 2019 | 3.15% |
| March 31, 2019 | 3.41% |
| December 31, 2018 | 3.42% |
| September 30, 2018 | 3.55% |
| June 30, 2018 | 3.87% |
| March 31, 2018 | 4.02% |
| December 31, 2017 | 3.70% |
| September 30, 2017 | 3.42% |
| June 30, 2017 | 3.85% |
| March 31, 2017 | 4.03% |
| December 31, 2016 | 3.96% |
| September 30, 2016 | 2.67% |
| June 30, 2016 | 2.73% |
| March 31, 2016 | 2.47% |
| December 31, 2015 | 2.05% |
| September 30, 2015 | 2.16% |
| June 30, 2015 | 2.13% |
| March 31, 2015 | 1.42% |
| December 31, 2014 | 1.32% |
| September 30, 2014 | 1.26% |
| June 30, 2014 | 1.02% |
| March 31, 2014 | 0.61% |
| December 31, 2013 | 0.90% |
| September 30, 2013 | 0.51% |
News
Headline
Time (ET)
06/03 05:58
05/28 05:49
05/27 05:49
05/26 10:33
05/15 05:58
Basic Info
|
US Natural Rate of Interest Output Gap is at 0.67%, compared to 0.82% last quarter and 1.25% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 0.59%. |
| Report | US Natural Rate of Interest |
| Category | Interest Rates |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.67% |
| Latest Period | Dec 2025 |
| Last Updated | May 29 2026, 08:01 EDT |
| Next Release | Aug 27 2026, 08:00 EDT |
| Long Term Average | 0.59% |
| Average Growth Rate | -170.6% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 0.82% |
| Change from Last Quarter | -18.25% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 1.25% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | -46.42% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | N/A |
| Download Source File |