Median Forecasts for Three-Month Treasury Bill Minus Same-Quarter PCE Inflation (I:MFTMTBAQ)
0.83% for Q3 2026
Level Chart
Basic Info
|
Median Forecasts for Three-Month Treasury Bill Minus Same-Quarter PCE Inflation is at 0.83%, compared to 0.81% last quarter and 0.74% last year. This is higher than the long term average of -0.43%. |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.83% |
| Latest Period | Sep 2026 |
| Last Updated | Mar 13 2026, 14:24 EDT |
| Long Term Average | -0.43% |
| Average Growth Rate | -55.76% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 0.81% |
| Change from Last Quarter | 2.55% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.74% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | 13.18% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate |
| Download Source File | |
| Notes | Forecasts for the real rate on three-month Treasury bills using forecasts for headline PCE inflation. Data always shows the latest forecast. |
Historical Data
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 | 0.83% |
| June 30, 2026 | 0.81% |
| March 31, 2026 | 0.88% |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.89% |
| September 30, 2025 | 0.74% |
| June 30, 2025 | 1.32% |
| March 31, 2025 | 1.87% |
| December 31, 2024 | 2.45% |
| September 30, 2024 | 3.10% |
| June 30, 2024 | 2.22% |
| March 31, 2024 | 3.39% |
| December 31, 2023 | 2.49% |
| September 30, 2023 | 2.67% |
| June 30, 2023 | 1.75% |
| March 31, 2023 | 1.50% |
| December 31, 2022 | -0.25% |
| September 30, 2022 | -2.83% |
| June 30, 2022 | -4.69% |
| March 31, 2022 | -4.34% |
| December 31, 2021 | -3.79% |
| September 30, 2021 | -3.94% |
| June 30, 2021 | -2.80% |
| March 31, 2021 | -2.14% |
| December 31, 2020 | -1.59% |
| September 30, 2020 | -1.41% |
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| June 30, 2020 | 1.21% |
| March 31, 2020 | -0.07% |
| December 31, 2019 | -0.01% |
| September 30, 2019 | 0.39% |
| June 30, 2019 | 0.23% |
| March 31, 2019 | 1.02% |
| December 31, 2018 | 0.13% |
| September 30, 2018 | 0.04% |
| June 30, 2018 | -0.10% |
| March 31, 2018 | -0.55% |
| December 31, 2017 | -0.75% |
| September 30, 2017 | -0.40% |
| June 30, 2017 | -0.42% |
| March 31, 2017 | -1.33% |
| December 31, 2016 | -1.48% |
| September 30, 2016 | -1.18% |
| June 30, 2016 | -1.28% |
| March 31, 2016 | -0.19% |
| December 31, 2015 | -0.67% |
| September 30, 2015 | -1.60% |
| June 30, 2015 | -1.57% |
| March 31, 2015 | 0.69% |
| December 31, 2014 | -1.23% |
| September 30, 2014 | -1.85% |
| June 30, 2014 | -1.60% |
News
Headline
Time (ET)
03/26 07:38
03/19 07:26
03/13 07:41
03/09 08:21
Basic Info
|
Median Forecasts for Three-Month Treasury Bill Minus Same-Quarter PCE Inflation is at 0.83%, compared to 0.81% last quarter and 0.74% last year. This is higher than the long term average of -0.43%. |
| Region | United States |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
Stats
| Last Value | 0.83% |
| Latest Period | Sep 2026 |
| Last Updated | Mar 13 2026, 14:24 EDT |
| Long Term Average | -0.43% |
| Average Growth Rate | -55.76% |
| Value from Last Quarter | 0.81% |
| Change from Last Quarter | 2.55% |
| Value from 1 Year Ago | 0.74% |
| Change from 1 Year Ago | 13.18% |
| Frequency | Quarterly |
| Unit | Percent |
| Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate |
| Download Source File | |
| Notes | Forecasts for the real rate on three-month Treasury bills using forecasts for headline PCE inflation. Data always shows the latest forecast. |