Cincinnati Financial Reports Second-Quarter 2021 Results

July 28, 2021 16:05

CINCINNATI, July 28, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

Second-quarter 2021 net income of $703 million, or $4.31 per share, compared with $909 million, or $5.63 per share, in the second quarter of 2020, after recognizing a $386 million second-quarter 2021 after-tax increase in the fair value of equity securities still held.
$221 million or 311% increase in non-GAAP operating income* to $292 million, or $1.79 per share, compared with $71 million, or 44 cents per share, in the second quarter of last year.
$206 million decrease in second-quarter 2021 net income, primarily due to the after-tax net effect of a $427 million decrease in net investment gains partially offset by a $207 million increase in after-tax property casualty underwriting income.
$73.57 book value per share at June 30, 2021, up $6.53 since year-end.
11.6% value creation ratio for the first six months of 2021, compared with negative 3.0% for the same period of 2020.

Financial Highlights

(Dollars in millions, except per share data)	Three months ended June 30,						Six months ended June 30,
		2021		2020		% Change		2021		2020		% Change
Revenue Data
Earned premiums		$	1,593	$	1,482	7		$	3,137	$	2,938	7
Investment income, net of expenses		175		166		5		349		331		5
Total revenues		2,295		2,714		(15)		4,522		2,615		73
Income Statement Data
Net income (loss)		$	703	$	909	(23)		$	1,323	$	(317)	nm
Investment gains and losses, after-tax		411		838		(51)		809		(525)		nm
Non-GAAP operating income*		$	292	$	71	311		$	514	$	208	147
Per Share Data (diluted)
Net income (loss)		$	4.31	$	5.63	(23)		$	8.13	$	(1.96)	nm
Investment gains and losses, after-tax		2.52		5.19		(51)		4.97		(3.25)		nm
Non-GAAP operating income*		$	1.79	$	0.44	307		$	3.16	$	1.29	145

Book value								$	73.57	$	57.56	28
Cash dividend declared		$	0.63	$	0.60	5		$	1.26	$	1.20	5
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding		162.9		161.5		1		162.7		161.5		1

* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures section defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company's safe harbor statement.

Insurance Operations Highlights

85.5% second-quarter 2021 property casualty combined ratio, improved from 103.1% for the second quarter of 2020.
10% growth in second-quarter net written premiums, reflecting price increases and premium growth initiatives.
$235 million second-quarter 2021 property casualty new business written premiums, up 12%. Agencies appointed since the beginning of 2020 contributed $17 million or 7% of total new business written premiums.
$14 million second-quarter 2021 life insurance subsidiary net income, up $2 million from the second quarter of 2020, and 2% growth in second-quarter 2021 term life insurance earned premiums.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

5% or $9 million increase in second-quarter 2021 pretax investment income, including a 13% increase for stock portfolio dividends and a 3% increase for bond interest income.
Three-month increase of 5% in fair value of total investments at June 30, 2021, including a 6% increase for the stock portfolio and 4% increase for the bond portfolio.
$4.254 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at June 30, 2021, up 13% from year-end 2020.

Property Casualty Operations Producing Results
Steven J. Johnston, chairman, president and CEO, commented: "We continued to achieve strong non-GAAP operating income results, increasing that measure 311% to $292 million in the second quarter. Our property casualty insurance operations led the way, earning $221 million in pretax underwriting profit for the quarter. Investment income continued its steady contribution, growing 5% compared with second-quarter 2020.

"The change in accounting rules adopted in 2018 that we've mentioned in the past continues to cause volatility in net income results as unrealized investment gains and losses flow through that number. For instance, our second-quarter net income decreased $206 million compared to the second quarter of 2020 when stock markets were rebounding from pandemic-induced effects early last year. However, when you look at our net income for the first half of 2021 in total compared with the first half of 2020, you'll see a positive swing of $1.640 billion.

"Looking closer at our insurance operations, property casualty underwriting produced our best results in 15 years, making strides in both our quarterly and first-half combined ratios in all of our major areas of business. Lower weather-related catastrophe losses supported by our initiatives to deepen product and geographic diversification helped our property casualty insurance operations improve our second-quarter and first-half combined ratios 17.6 points and 12.5 points, respectively, to 85.5% and 88.3%."

Getting Back to Business
"In the past few months, we've had opportunities to visit in person with the outstanding independent agencies that represent Cincinnati Insurance in their communities. Their excitement for the future is palpable.

"Property casualty new business written premiums reached another record high in the second quarter, growing 12% to $235 million compared with last year, as production from recently appointed agencies accelerates. Our underwriters select and price new business from our agencies with confidence as we continue to hone our abilities in both pricing precision and policy segmentation.

"Total property casualty net written premium growth for the first six months returned to pre-pandemic levels, increasing 11% compared with the first half of 2020. Growth was 10% for the first-half and full-year 2019. Overall renewal pricing trends developed satisfactorily with standard commercial and personal lines policies averaging percentage increases in the mid-single-digit range and excess and surplus lines policies in the high-single-digit range.

"By seeking increased pricing on those accounts that need it most and remaining competitive on our agents' best-performing accounts, we are able to strike a nice balance between growth and profitability."

Book Value at Record High
"At June 30, our book value again reached a record high, increasing 10% since December 31, 2020. Consolidated cash and total investments also reached a new high, topping $24 billion.

"Our ample capital allows us to execute on our long-term strategies and, at the same time, continue to pay dividends to shareholders. Our value creation ratio, which considers the dividends we pay as well as growth in book value, was 11.6% for the first half of 2021, in line with our 10% to 13% average annual target for this measure."

Insurance Operations Highlights
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,								Six months ended June 30,
		2021			2020			% Change		2021			2020			% Change
Earned premiums		$	1,514		$	1,403		8		$	2,989		$	2,792		7
Fee revenues		3			2			50		5			5			0
Total revenues		1,517			1,405			8		2,994			2,797			7

Loss and loss expenses		830			1,007			(18)		1,753			1,937			(9)
Underwriting expenses		466			439			6		887			877			1
Underwriting profit (loss)		$	221		$	(41)		nm		$	354		$	(17)		nm

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Loss and loss expenses		54.8		%	71.8		%	(17.0)		58.6		%	69.4		%	(10.8)
Underwriting expenses		30.7			31.3			(0.6)		29.7			31.4			(1.7)
Combined ratio		85.5		%	103.1		%	(17.6)		88.3		%	100.8		%	(12.5)

								% Change								% Change
Agency renewal written premiums		$	1,333		$	1,244		7		$	2,609		$	2,442		7
Agency new business written premiums		235			210			12		455			425			7
Other written premiums		146			105			39		343			210			63
Net written premiums		$	1,714		$	1,559		10		$	3,407		$	3,077		11

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Current accident year before catastrophe losses		56.8		%	58.2		%	(1.4)		57.2		%	59.0		%	(1.8)
Current accident year catastrophe losses		5.8			16.9			(11.1)		9.1			13.2			(4.1)
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses		(5.9)			(2.9)			(3.0)		(5.7)			(2.4)			(3.3)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses		(1.9)			(0.4)			(1.5)		(2.0)			(0.4)			(1.6)
Loss and loss expense ratio		54.8		%	71.8		%	(17.0)		58.6		%	69.4		%	(10.8)

Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses		87.5		%	89.5		%	(2.0)		86.9		%	90.4		%	(3.5)

$155 million or 10% growth of second-quarter 2021 property casualty net written premiums, and six-month growth of 11%, largely reflecting premium growth initiatives and price increases. Cincinnati Re^® contributed 3 percentage points to property casualty growth for the second quarter of 2021 and 5 points to six-month growth.
$25 million or 12% increase in second-quarter 2021 new business premiums written by agencies and six-month increase of 7%. The second-quarter growth included a $13 million increase in standard market property casualty production from agencies appointed since the beginning of 2020.
151 new agency appointments in the first six months of 2021, including 30 that market only our personal lines products.
17.6 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 combined ratio improvement and a 12.5 percentage-point improvement for the six-month period. The lower combined ratios included decreases for losses from catastrophes of 12.6 points for the second quarter and 5.7 points for the first six months of 2021.
7.8 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $119 million, compared with 3.3 points or $47 million for second-quarter 2020.
7.7 percentage-point six-month 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development, compared with 2.8 points for the first six months of 2020.
1.8 percentage-point improvement, to 57.2%, for the six-month 2021 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including a decrease of 0.2 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.
0.6 percentage-point decrease in the second-quarter 2021 underwriting expense ratio, compared with the same period of 2020, primarily due to the second-quarter 2020 $16 million Stay-at-Home policyholder credit for personal auto policies.

Commercial Lines Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,								Six months ended June 30,
		2021			2020			% Change		2021			2020			% Change
Earned premiums		$	911		$	870		5		$	1,797		$	1,733		4
Fee revenues		1			1			0		2			2			0
Total revenues		912			871			5		1,799			1,735			4

Loss and loss expenses		480			596			(19)		983			1,204			(18)
Underwriting expenses		287			267			7		541			543			0
Underwriting profit (loss)		$	145		$	8		nm		$	275		$	(12)		nm

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Loss and loss expenses		52.8		%	68.4		%	(15.6)		54.7		%	69.5		%	(14.8)
Underwriting expenses		31.4			30.7			0.7		30.1			31.3			(1.2)
Combined ratio		84.2		%	99.1		%	(14.9)		84.8		%	100.8		%	(16.0)

								% Change								% Change
Agency renewal written premiums		$	852		$	794		7		$	1,750		$	1,636		7
Agency new business written premiums		146			134			9		291			288			1
Other written premiums		(21)			(20)			(5)		(45)			(44)			(2)
Net written premiums		$	977		$	908		8		$	1,996		$	1,880		6

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Current accident year before catastrophe losses		57.9		%	58.9		%	(1.0)		58.9		%	60.0		%	(1.1)
Current accident year catastrophe losses		4.3			14.6			(10.3)		5.2			12.4			(7.2)
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses		(8.3)			(4.5)			(3.8)		(7.9)			(2.4)			(5.5)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses		(1.1)			(0.6)			(0.5)		(1.5)			(0.5)			(1.0)
Loss and loss expense ratio		52.8		%	68.4		%	(15.6)		54.7		%	69.5		%	(14.8)

Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses		89.3		%	89.6		%	(0.3)		89.0		%	91.3		%	(2.3)

$69 million or 8% growth in second-quarter 2021 commercial lines net written premiums, primarily due to higher agency renewal written premiums. Six percent growth in six-month net written premiums.
$58 million or 7% increase in second-quarter renewal written premiums, with commercial lines average renewal pricing increases in the mid-single-digit percent range.
$12 million or 9% increase in second-quarter 2021 new business written by agencies, and a six-month increase of 1% as first-quarter 2021 reflected weakened economic factors from pandemic effects.
14.9 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 combined ratio improvement and a 16.0 percentage-point improvement for the six-month period. The lower combined ratios included decreases for losses from catastrophes of 10.8 points for the second quarter and 8.2 points for the first six months of 2021.
9.4 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $86 million, compared with 5.1 points or $45 million for second-quarter 2020.
9.4 percentage-point six-month 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development, compared with 2.9 points for the first six months of 2020.

Personal Lines Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,								Six months ended June 30,
		2021			2020			% Change		2021			2020			% Change
Earned premiums		$	382		$	364		5		$	758		$	723		5
Fee revenues		1			1			0		2			2			0
Total revenues		383			365			5		760			725			5

Loss and loss expenses		241			286			(16)		514			517			(1)
Underwriting expenses		113			122			(7)		220			230			(4)
Underwriting profit (loss)		$	29		$	(43)		nm		$	26		$	(22)		nm

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Loss and loss expenses		63.0		%	78.9		%	(15.9)		67.8		%	71.6		%	(3.8)
Underwriting expenses		29.7			33.4			(3.7)		29.0			31.8			(2.8)
Combined ratio		92.7		%	112.3		%	(19.6)		96.8		%	103.4		%	(6.6)

								% Change								% Change
Agency renewal written premiums		$	397		$	387		3		$	699		$	681		3
Agency new business written premiums		53			44			20		99			78			27
Other written premiums		(11)			(8)			(38)		(21)			(17)			(24)
Net written premiums		$	439		$	423		4		$	777		$	742		5

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Current accident year before catastrophe losses		55.3		%	53.8		%	1.5		56.3		%	56.9		%	(0.6)
Current accident year catastrophe losses		10.9			25.3			(14.4)		15.7			18.7			(3.0)
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses		(2.9)			0.0			(2.9)		(3.7)			(3.2)			(0.5)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses		(0.3)			(0.2)			(0.1)		(0.5)			(0.8)			0.3
Loss and loss expense ratio		63.0		%	78.9		%	(15.9)		67.8		%	71.6		%	(3.8)

Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses		85.0		%	87.2		%	(2.2)		85.3		%	88.7		%	(3.4)

$16 million or 4% growth in second-quarter 2021 personal lines net written premiums, including higher renewal written premiums that benefited from rate increases averaging in the mid-single-digit percent range. Second-quarter 2021 net written premiums from our agencies' high net worth clients grew 23%, to $177 million. Five percent growth in six-month personal lines net written premiums.
$9 million or 20% increase in second-quarter 2021 new business premiums written by agencies and six-month increase of 27%, largely reflecting expanded use of enhanced pricing precision tools.
19.6 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 combined ratio improvement and a 6.6 percentage-point improvement for the six-month period. The lower combined ratios included decreases for losses from catastrophes of 14.5 points for the second quarter and 2.7 points for the first six months of 2021.
3.2 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $12 million, compared with 0.2 points or less than $1 million for second-quarter 2020.
4.2 percentage-point six-month 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development, compared with 4.0 points for the first six months of 2020.

Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Results
(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,								Six months ended June 30,
		2021			2020			% Change		2021			2020			% Change
Earned premiums		$	95		$	78		22		$	184		$	156		18
Fee revenues		1			—			nm		1			1			0
Total revenues		96			78			23		185			157			18

Loss and loss expenses		58			57			2		117			102			15
Underwriting expenses		28			22			27		50			47			6
Underwriting profit (loss)		$	10		$	(1)		nm		$	18		$	8		125

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Loss and loss expenses		61.0		%	73.6		%	(12.6)		63.7		%	65.5		%	(1.8)
Underwriting expenses		28.5			28.4			0.1		27.0			30.0			(3.0)
Combined ratio		89.5		%	102.0		%	(12.5)		90.7		%	95.5		%	(4.8)

								% Change								% Change
Agency renewal written premiums		$	84		$	63		33		$	160		$	125		28
Agency new business written premiums		36			32			13		65			59			10
Other written premiums		(5)			(4)			(25)		(11)			(8)			(38)
Net written premiums		$	115		$	91		26		$	214		$	176		22

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:								Pt. Change								Pt. Change
Current accident year before catastrophe losses		62.0		%	59.0		%	3.0		61.5		%	57.4		%	4.1
Current accident year catastrophe losses		0.4			3.6			(3.2)		0.8			2.0			(1.2)
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses		(1.5)			11.2			(12.7)		1.5			5.9			(4.4)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses		0.1			(0.2)			0.3		(0.1)			0.2			(0.3)
Loss and loss expense ratio		61.0		%	73.6		%	(12.6)		63.7		%	65.5		%	(1.8)

Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses		90.5		%	87.4		%	3.1		88.5		%	87.4		%	1.1

$24 million or 26% growth in second-quarter 2021 excess and surplus lines net written premiums, including higher renewal written premiums that benefited from price increases averaging in the high-single-digit percent range. Twenty-two percent growth in six-month net written premiums.
$4 million or 13% increase in second-quarter new business written by agencies and six-month increase of 10%, as we continue to carefully underwrite each policy in a highly competitive market.
12.5 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 combined ratio improvement and a 4.8 percentage-point improvement for the six-month period, primarily due to more favorable reserve development on prior accident years.
1.4 percentage-point second-quarter 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $1 million, compared with 11.0 points or $8 million of unfavorable development for second-quarter 2020.
$3 million of unfavorable prior accident year reserve development for the first six months of 2021, compared with $9 million for the first six months of 2020. The 2021 unfavorable development was due to a first-quarter updated estimate for salaries and expenses to adjust claims.

Life Insurance Subsidiary Results
(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,						Six months ended June 30,
		2021		2020		% Change		2021		2020		% Change
Term life insurance		$	52	$	51	2		$	103	$	98	5
Universal life insurance		14		16		(13)		21		24		(13)
Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income products		13		12		8		24		24		0
Earned premiums		79		79		0		148		146		1
Investment income, net of expenses		42		39		8		83		78		6
Investment gains and losses, net		4		1		300		4		(31)		nm
Fee revenues		1		1		0		2		1		100
Total revenues		126		120		5		237		194		22
Contract holders' benefits incurred		85		79		8		165		152		9
Underwriting expenses incurred		24		25		(4)		42		43		(2)
Total benefits and expenses		109		104		5		207		195		6
Net income (loss) before income tax		17		16		6		30		(1)		nm
Income tax provision (benefit)		3		4		(25)		6		—		nm
Net income (loss) of the life insurance subsidiary		$	14	$	12	17		$	24	$	(1)	nm

Less than $1 million increase in second-quarter 2021 earned premiums, including a 2% increase for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line.
$25 million increase in six-month 2021 life insurance subsidiary net income, largely reflecting investment losses resulting from impairments of fixed-maturity securities during the first quarter of 2020, partially offset by less favorable mortality experience in the first six months of 2021 due in part to higher pandemic-related death claims incurred in the first three months of 2021.
$8 million or 1% six-month 2021 increase, to $1.425 billion, in GAAP shareholders' equity for the life insurance subsidiary, primarily from net income that was partially offset by a decrease in unrealized investment gains.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investments Results
(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,							Six months ended June 30,
	2021			2020			% Change		2021			2020			% Change
Investment income, net of expenses	$	175		$	166		5		$	349		$	331		5
Investment interest credited to contract holders	(27)			(25)			(8)		(53)			(51)			(4)
Investment gains and losses, net	520			1,060			(51)		1,024			(665)			nm
Investments profit (loss)	$	668		$	1,201		(44)		$	1,320		$	(385)		nm

Investment income:
Interest	$	117		$	114		3		$	235		$	226		4
Dividends	60			53			13		118			106			11
Other	1			2			(50)		3			5			(40)
Less investment expenses	3			3			0		7			6			17
Investment income, pretax	175			166			5		349			331			5
Less income taxes	27			25			8		54			51			6
Total investment income, after-tax	$	148		$	141		5		$	295		$	280		5

Investment returns:
Average invested assets plus cash and cash equivalents	$	22,619		$	18,759				$	22,259		$	19,672
Average yield pretax	3.09		%	3.54		%			3.14		%	3.37		%
Average yield after-tax	2.62			3.01					2.65			2.85
Effective tax rate	15.5			15.6					15.5			15.5
Fixed-maturity returns:
Average amortized cost	$	11,653		$	11,107				$	11,570		$	11,124
Average yield pretax	4.02		%	4.11		%			4.06		%	4.06		%
Average yield after-tax	3.35			3.42					3.38			3.39
Effective tax rate	16.7			16.7					16.7			16.6

$9 million or 5% rise in second-quarter 2021 pretax investment income, including a 13% increase in equity portfolio dividends and a 3% increase in interest income from fixed-maturity securities.
$652 million second-quarter 2021 pretax total investment gains, summarized in the table below. Changes in unrealized gains or losses reported in other comprehensive income, in addition to investment gains and losses reported in net income, are useful for evaluating total investment performance over time and are major components of changes in book value and the value creation ratio.

(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,				Six months ended June 30,
	2021		2020		2021		2020
Investment gains and losses on equity securities sold, net	$	—	$	24	$	6	$	17
Unrealized gains and losses on equity securities still held, net	489		1,044		974		(602)
Investment gains and losses on fixed-maturity securities, net	9		—		12		(75)
Other	22		(8)		32		(5)
Subtotal - investment gains and losses reported in net income	520		1,060		1,024		(665)
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses - fixed maturities	132		506		(64)		182
Total	$	652	$	1,566	$	960	$	(483)

Balance Sheet Highlights
(Dollars in millions, except share data)	At June 30,				At December 31,
		2021				2020
Total investments		$	23,061			$	21,542
Total assets		29,677				27,542
Short-term debt		59				54
Long-term debt		789				788
Shareholders' equity		11,858				10,789
Book value per share		73.57				67.04
Debt-to-total-capital ratio		6.7		%		7.2		%

$24.064 billion in consolidated cash and total investments at June 30, 2021, an increase of 7% from $22.442 billion at year-end 2020.
$12.789 billion bond portfolio at June 30, 2021, with an average rating of A3/A. Fair value increased $481 million during the second quarter of 2021, including $328 million in net purchases of fixed-maturity securities.
$9.897 billion equity portfolio was 42.9% of total investments, including $5.897 billion in appreciated value before taxes at June 30, 2021. Second-quarter 2021 increase in fair value of $537 million or 6%.
$4.41 second-quarter 2021 increase in book value per share, including additions of $1.81 from net income before investment gains, $3.09 from investment portfolio net investment gains or changes in unrealized gains for fixed-maturity securities and $0.14 for other items, partially offset by $0.63 from dividends declared to shareholders.
Value creation ratio of 11.6% for the first six months of 2021, including 4.8% from net income before investment gains, which includes underwriting and investment income, and 6.8% from investment portfolio net investment gains and changes in unrealized gains for fixed-maturity securities.

For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit cinfin.com/investors.

About Cincinnati Financial
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers primarily business, home and auto insurance through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life insurance, fixed annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit cinfin.com.

	Mailing Address:				Street Address:
	P.O. Box 145496				6200 South Gilmore Road
	Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496				Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

Safe Harbor Statement
This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2020 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 34.

Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic that could affect results for reasons such as:

Securities market disruption or volatility and related effects such as decreased economic activity that affect the company's investment portfolio and book value
An unusually high level of claims in our insurance or reinsurance operations that increase litigation-related expenses
An unusually high level of insurance losses, including risk of legislation or court decisions extending business interruption insurance in commercial property coverage forms to cover claims for pure economic loss related to the COVID-19 pandemic
Decreased premium revenue and cash flow from disruption to our distribution channel of independent agents, consumer self-isolation, travel limitations, business restrictions and decreased economic activity
Inability of our workforce, agencies or vendors to perform necessary business functions

Ongoing developments concerning business interruption insurance claims and litigation related to the COVID-19 pandemic that affect our estimates of losses and loss adjustment expenses or our ability to reasonably estimate such losses, such as:

The continuing duration of the pandemic and governmental actions to limit the spread of the virus that may produce additional economic losses
The number of policyholders that will ultimately submit claims or file lawsuits
The lack of submitted proofs of loss for allegedly covered claims
Judicial rulings in similar litigation involving other companies in the insurance industry
Differences in state laws and developing case law in the relatively few decisions rendered to date
Litigation trends, including varying legal theories advanced by policyholders
Whether and to what degree any class of policyholders may be certified
The inherent unpredictability of litigation

Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims or development of claims that are unforeseen at the time of policy issuance
Inadequate estimates, assumptions or reliance on third-party data used for critical accounting estimates
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company's equity portfolio and book value
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company's ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
Domestic and global events resulting in capital market or credit market uncertainty, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:

Significant or prolonged decline in the fair value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions or other insured entities

Our inability to integrate Cincinnati Global and its subsidiaries into our ongoing operations, or disruptions to our ongoing operations due to such integration
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
Difficulties with technology or data security breaches, including cyberattacks, that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business; disrupt our relationships with agents, policyholders and others; cause reputational damage, mitigation expenses and data loss and expose us to liability under federal and state laws
Disruption of the insurance market caused by technology innovations such as driverless cars that could decrease consumer demand for insurance products
Delays, inadequate data developed internally or from third parties, or performance inadequacies from ongoing development and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods, including telematics and other usage-based insurance methods, or technology projects and enhancements expected to increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company's premium volume
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
Inability to obtain adequate ceded reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance coverage purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for nonpayment or delay in payment by reinsurers
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
Inability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends consistent with current or past levels
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company's relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company's opportunities for growth, such as:

Downgrades of the company's financial strength ratings
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
Perceptions that the company's level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
Inability or unwillingness to nimbly develop and introduce coverage product updates and innovations that our competitors offer and consumers expect to find in the marketplace

Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:

Impose new obligations on us that increase our expenses or change the assumptions underlying our critical accounting estimates
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance–related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in tax law
Increase our other expenses
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents

Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company's future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location

Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, global, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.

* * *

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets and Statements of Income (unaudited)
(Dollars in millions)					June 30,		December 31,
					2021		2020
Assets
Investments					$	23,061	$	21,542
Cash and cash equivalents					1,003		900
Premiums receivable					2,217		1,879
Reinsurance recoverable					504		517
Deferred policy acquisition costs					924		805
Other assets					1,968		1,899
Total assets					$	29,677	$	27,542

Liabilities
Insurance reserves					$	9,999	$	9,661
Unearned premiums					3,417		2,960
Deferred income tax					1,495		1,299
Long-term debt and lease obligations					848		845
Other liabilities					2,060		1,988
Total liabilities					17,819		16,753

Shareholders' Equity
Common stock and paid-in capital					1,731		1,725
Retained earnings					11,205		10,085
Accumulated other comprehensive income					731		769
Treasury stock					(1,809)		(1,790)
Total shareholders' equity					11,858		10,789
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity					$	29,677	$	27,542

(Dollars in millions, except per share data)	Three months ended June 30,				Six months ended June 30,
	2021		2020		2021		2020
Revenues
Earned premiums	$	1,593	$	1,482	$	3,137	$	2,938
Investment income, net of expenses	175		166		349		331
Investment gains and losses, net	520		1,060		1,024		(665)
Other revenues	7		6		12		11
Total revenues	2,295		2,714		4,522		2,615

Benefits and Expenses
Insurance losses and contract holders' benefits	915		1,086		1,918		2,089
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses	490		464		929		920
Interest expense	13		14		26		27
Other operating expenses	5		5		9		10
Total benefits and expenses	1,423		1,569		2,882		3,046

Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes	872		1,145		1,640		(431)

Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes	169		236		317		(114)

Net Income (Loss)	$	703	$	909	$	1,323	$	(317)

Per Common Share:
Net income (loss)—basic	$	4.36	$	5.65	$	8.21	$	(1.96)
Net income (loss)—diluted	4.31		5.63		8.13		(1.96)

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

(See attached tables for reconciliations; additional prior-period reconciliations available at cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules for insurance company regulation in the United States of America as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP results to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; supplement reporting segment disclosures with disclosures for a subsidiary company or for a combination of subsidiaries or reporting segments; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

Non-GAAP operating income: Non-GAAP operating income is calculated by excluding investment gains and losses (defined as investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) and other significant non-recurring items from net income. Management evaluates non-GAAP operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses on fixed-maturity securities sold in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses are recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider non-GAAP operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents non-GAAP operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
Consolidated property casualty insurance results: To supplement reporting segment disclosures related to our property casualty insurance operations, we also evaluate results for those operations on a basis that includes results for our property casualty insurance and brokerage services subsidiaries. That is the total of our commercial lines, personal lines and our excess and surplus lines segments plus our reinsurance assumed operations known as Cincinnati Re and our London-based global specialty underwriter known as Cincinnati Global.
Life insurance subsidiary results: To supplement life insurance reporting segment disclosures related to our life insurance operation, we also evaluate results for that operation on a basis that includes life insurance subsidiary investment income, or investment income plus investment gains and losses, that are also included in our investments reporting segment. We recognize that assets under management, capital appreciation and investment income are integral to evaluating the success of the life insurance segment because of the long duration of life products.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Net Income Reconciliation

(Dollars in millions, except per share data)	Three months ended June 30,					Six months ended June 30,
		2021		2020			2021		2020
Net income (loss)		$	703	$	909		$	1,323	$	(317)
Less:
Investment gains and losses, net		520		1,060			1,024		(665)
Income tax on investment gains and losses		(109)		(222)			(215)		140
Investment gains and losses, after-tax		411		838			809		(525)
Non-GAAP operating income		$	292	$	71		$	514	$	208

Diluted per share data:
Net income (loss)		$	4.31	$	5.63		$	8.13	$	(1.96)
Less:
Investment gains and losses, net		3.19		6.56			6.29		(4.12)
Income tax on investment gains and losses		(0.67)		(1.37)			(1.32)		0.87
Investment gains and losses, after-tax		2.52		5.19			4.97		(3.25)
Non-GAAP operating income		$	1.79	$	0.44		$	3.16	$	1.29


Life Insurance Reconciliation

(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30,					Six months ended June 30,
		2021		2020			2021		2020
Net income (loss) of the life insurance subsidiary		$	14	$	12		$	24	$	(1)
Investment gains and losses, net		4		1			4		(31)
Income tax on investment gains and losses		1		—			1		(7)
Non-GAAP operating income		11		11			21		23

Investment income, net of expenses		(42)		(39)			(83)		(78)
Investment income credited to contract holders		27		25			53		51
Income tax excluding tax on investment gains and losses, net		2		4			5		7
Life insurance segment profit (loss)		$	(2)	$	1		$	(4)	$	3

Property Casualty Insurance Reconciliation
(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30, 2021
	Consolidated			Commercial			Personal			E&S				Other*
Premiums:
Written premiums		$	1,714		$	977		$	439		$	115		183
Unearned premiums change		(200)			(66)			(57)			(20)			(57)
Earned premiums		$	1,514		$	911		$	382		$	95		$	126

Underwriting profit		$	221		$	145		$	29		$	10		$	37

(Dollars in millions)	Six months ended June 30, 2021
	Consolidated			Commercial			Personal			E&S				Other*
Premiums:
Written premiums		$	3,407		$	1,996		$	777		$	214		$	420
Unearned premiums change		(418)			(199)			(19)			(30)			(170)
Earned premiums		$	2,989		$	1,797		$	758		$	184		$	250

Underwriting profit		$	354		$	275		$	26		$	18		$	35

(Dollars in millions)	Three months ended June 30, 2020
	Consolidated			Commercial			Personal			E&S			Other*
Premiums:
Written premiums		$	1,559		$	908		$	423		$	91		$	137
Unearned premiums change		(156)			(38)			(59)			(13)			(46)
Earned premiums		$	1,403		870			$	364		78			$	91

Underwriting profit (loss)		$	(41)		$	8		$	(43)		$	(1)		$	(5)

(Dollars in millions)	Six months ended June 30, 2020
	Consolidated			Commercial			Personal			E&S			Other*
Premiums:
Written premiums		$	3,077		$	1,880		$	742		$	176		$	279
Unearned premiums change		(285)			(147)			(19)			(20)			(99)
Earned premiums		$	2,792		$	1,733		$	723		$	156		$	180

Underwriting profit (loss)		$	(17)		$	(12)		$	(22)		$	8		$	9

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. *Included in Other are the results of Cincinnati Re and Cincinnati Global.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Other Measures

Value creation ratio: This is a measure of shareholder value creation that management believes captures the contribution of the company's insurance operations, the success of its investment strategy and the importance placed on paying cash dividends to shareholders. The value creation ratio measure is made up of two primary components: (1) rate of growth in book value per share plus (2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share. Management believes this measure is useful, providing a meaningful measure of long-term progress in creating shareholder value. It is intended to be all-inclusive regarding changes in book value per share, and uses originally reported book value per share in cases where book value per share has been adjusted, such as adoption of Accounting Standards Updates with a cumulative effect of a change in accounting. Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules in the U.S., property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
Value Creation Ratio Calculations
(Dollars are per share)	Three months ended June 30,							Six months ended June 30,
		2021			2020				2021			2020
Value creation ratio:
End of period book value*		$	73.57		$	57.56			$	73.57		$	57.56
Less beginning of period book value		69.16			50.02				67.04			60.55
Change in book value		4.41			7.54				6.53			(2.99)
Dividend declared to shareholders		0.63			0.60				1.26			1.20
Total value creation		$	5.04		$	8.14			$	7.79		$	(1.79)

Value creation ratio from change in book value**		6.4		%	15.1		%		9.7		%	(5.0)		%
Value creation ratio from dividends declared to shareholders***		0.9			1.2				1.9			2.0
Value creation ratio		7.3		%	16.3		%		11.6		%	(3.0)		%

* Book value per share is calculated by dividing end of period total shareholders' equity by end of period shares outstanding
** Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value
*** Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value

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SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Cincinnati Financial Reports Second-Quarter 2021 Results

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