United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)

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116.49 +1.76  +1.53% NYSE Oct 19, 20:00 Delayed 2m USD

United Parcel Service Inc Ohlson Score (TTM):

2.212 for June 30, 2018
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United Parcel Service Inc Ohlson Score (TTM) Chart

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United Parcel Service Inc Historical Ohlson Score (TTM) Data

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Data for this Date Range  
June 30, 2018 2.212
March 31, 2018 2.292
Dec. 31, 2017 2.495
Sept. 30, 2017 2.628
June 30, 2017 2.487
March 31, 2017 2.184
Dec. 31, 2016 -0.655
Sept. 30, 2016 2.239
June 30, 2016 2.089
March 31, 2016 2.309
Dec. 31, 2015 2.205
Sept. 30, 2015 2.414
June 30, 2015 2.176
March 31, 2015 2.039
Dec. 31, 2014 3.191
Sept. 30, 2014 1.258
June 30, 2014 2.110
March 31, 2014 1.554
Dec. 31, 2013 1.215
Sept. 30, 2013 1.856
June 30, 2013 1.848
March 31, 2013 0.4061
Dec. 31, 2012 1.011
Sept. 30, 2012 1.975
June 30, 2012 1.047
   
March 31, 2012 0.9923
Dec. 31, 2011 1.368
Sept. 30, 2011 1.08
June 30, 2011 0.8958
March 31, 2011 1.042
Dec. 31, 2010 0.9396
Sept. 30, 2010 0.9159
June 30, 2010 1.014
March 31, 2010 1.530
Dec. 31, 2009 1.076
Sept. 30, 2009 1.318
June 30, 2009 1.395
March 31, 2009 1.352
Dec. 31, 2008 3.102
Sept. 30, 2008 1.133
June 30, 2008 1.341
March 31, 2008 -0.915
Dec. 31, 2007 0.2409
Sept. 30, 2007 0.088
June 30, 2007 -0.1235
March 31, 2007 0.131
Dec. 31, 2006 -0.1472
Sept. 30, 2006 -0.1199
June 30, 2006 -0.404
March 31, 2006 -0.2592

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About Ohlson's O-Score

Created by James Ohlson in the 1980s, the Ohlson Score uses items from the financial statement to predict the likelihood of a firm's bankruptcy. The O-Score breaks it down into nine different approximate measures of a firm's default risk, two of the nine being dummy variables: these nine are used to determine firm size, leverage, working capital, liquidity, profitability, change in net income, and debt financing. Together, these nine variables build an O-Score where the probability of failure is EXP(O-Score) divided by 1+EXP(O-score). Results greater than >.5 indicate a firm with a high chance of default.

It has been argued that the Ohlson Score is a better predictor of bankruptcy than other similar accounting models such as the Altman Z-Score, however, investors may find merits in using both Altman and Ohlson in helping to predict a firm's bankruptcy.

Because both Ohlson and Altman use an accounting-based model to help predict bankruptcy, its strength is its relatively simplicity. However, there are other bankruptcy models such as Merton's Distance to Default and CHS are other bankruptcy models that are used by academics and argued to be more effective in predicting bankruptcy risk.
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UPS Ohlson Score (TTM) Benchmarks

Benchmarks
FedEx Corp 0.4665
Union Pacific Corp 0.4093
C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc 0.873

UPS Ohlson Score (TTM) Range, Past 5 Years

Minimum -0.655 Dec 2016
Maximum 3.191 Dec 2014
Average 2.023

UPS Ohlson Score (TTM) Excel Add-In Codes

  • Metric Code: ohlson_score
  • Latest data point: =YCP("UPS", "ohlson_score")
  • Last 5 data points: =YCS("UPS", "ohlson_score", -4)

To find the codes for any of our financial metrics, see our Complete Reference of Metric Codes.

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