After Enormous Run-Up, Why Deere Stock Could Still be a Bargain
It would seem that this year’s drought, the worst in decades, might not dent Deere (DE). As the Wall Street Journal reported, analysts covering the industry consider the drought a “blip,” and Deere’s chief economist said last month that the farm sector is strong -- and presumably buying tractors.
Even if the drought does dampen sales, it will be temporary. And if Deere’s list of risk factors is to be believed, only really big macro things can hurt it, including a change to government farm programs, a collapse of the Euro, or new laws to combat global warming. Some of the risks it lists, including a tough time for the financial services industry, have already shown themselves and have failed to hurt Deere much this far.
In the meantime, its price to earnings ratio has fallen near its 2009 low.
And earnings have climbed.
To be sure, you can get rival Agco's (AGCO) earnings for less.
But only Deere’s been taking care of investors by regularly raising its dividend.
It may be time to buy stock in tractors.