Philly Fed Leading Index Report

These Leading Indices predict each state's coincident index growth rate for six months. Estimates are based on a vector autoregression model along with state-level housing permits, initial claims for for unemployment insurance, delivery times from the ISM manufacturing survey, and interest rate spreads between 3-month and 10-year treasuries. There is also a US national prediction.

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Philly Fed US Leading Index

Current (Feb 2014) Previous (Jan 2014) Change from Previous Change from Year Ago
1.13% 1.27% -10.76% -37.77%

Major Philly Fed Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value Change
from Prev
Philly Fed Alabama Leading Index Feb 2014 -0.94% -204.9%
Philly Fed Alaska Leading Index Feb 2014 -0.42% -144.2%
Philly Fed Arizona Leading Index Feb 2014 1.54% -21.28%
Philly Fed Arkansas Leading Index Feb 2014 1.46% -17.78%
Philly Fed California Leading Index Feb 2014 1.38% -5.99%
Philly Fed Colorado Leading Index Feb 2014 2.97% 7.49%
Philly Fed Connecticut Leading Index Feb 2014 1.93% -4.11%
Philly Fed Delaware Leading Index Feb 2014 2.37% -3.02%
Philly Fed Florida Leading Index Feb 2014 1.70% -14.50%
Philly Fed Georgia Leading Index Feb 2014 1.37% -8.21%
Philly Fed Hawaii Leading Index Feb 2014 1.14% -15.18%
Philly Fed Idaho Leading Index Feb 2014 1.99% -22.70%
Philly Fed Illinois Leading Index Feb 2014 0.81% -36.08%
Philly Fed Indiana Leading Index Feb 2014 1.51% -43.13%
Philly Fed Iowa Leading Index Feb 2014 0.7112 53.16%
Philly Fed Kansas Leading Index Feb 2014 -0.10% -119.8%
Philly Fed Kentucky Leading Index Feb 2014 -1.32% 54.70%
Philly Fed Louisiana Leading Index Feb 2014 0.38% -221.7%
Philly Fed Maine Leading Index Feb 2014 3.14% 11.65%
Philly Fed Maryland Leading Index Feb 2014 1.38% -11.93%
Philly Fed Massachusetts Leading Index Feb 2014 3.95% -11.26%
Philly Fed Michigan Leading Index Feb 2014 2.17% -57.45%
Philly Fed Minnesota Leading Index Feb 2014 1.10% -30.31%
Philly Fed Mississippi Leading Index Feb 2014 0.19% -70.71%
Philly Fed Missouri Leading Index Feb 2014 -0.71% 5.55%
Philly Fed Montana Leading Index Feb 2014 2.41% 0.89%
Philly Fed Nebraska Leading Index Feb 2014 1.38% -32.60%
Philly Fed Nevada Leading Index Feb 2014 3.19% -9.63%
Philly Fed New Hampshire Leading Index Feb 2014 3.35% -22.17%
Philly Fed New Jersey Leading Index Feb 2014 -0.00% -92.53%
Philly Fed New Mexico Leading Index Feb 2014 -0.04% -107.0%
Philly Fed New York Leading Index Feb 2014 0.95% -25.39%
Philly Fed North Carolina Leading Index Feb 2014 1.40% 9.12%
Philly Fed North Dakota Leading Index Feb 2014 1.45% -33.67%
Philly Fed Ohio Leading Index Feb 2014 2.46% 30.63%
Philly Fed Oklahoma Leading Index Feb 2014 1.400 7.66%
Philly Fed Oregon Leading Index Feb 2014 2.20% -8.10%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Leading Index Feb 2014 2.35% -1.96%
Philly Fed Rhode Island Leading Index Feb 2014 3.18% 21.59%
Philly Fed South Carolina Leading Index Feb 2014 5.36% 161.1%
Philly Fed South Dakota Leading Index Feb 2014 1.69% 29.03%
Philly Fed Tennessee Leading Index Feb 2014 1.61% -32.80%
Philly Fed Texas Leading Index Feb 2014 2.49% -19.60%
Philly Fed Utah Leading Index Feb 2014 1.72% -6.48%
Philly Fed Vermont Leading Index Feb 2014 3.48% 22.66%
Philly Fed Virginia Leading Index Feb 2014 0.39% -63.47%
Philly Fed Washington Leading Index Feb 2014 1.00% -59.63%
Philly Fed West Virginia Leading Index Feb 2014 0.45% -84.49%
Philly Fed Wisconsin Leading Index Feb 2014 1.11% -26.75%
Philly Fed Wyoming Leading Index Feb 2014 1.41% -9.67%
View and sort all 51 Philly Fed Leading Index Report Indicators
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Related Indicator Reports

Report Last Updated
Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey Report Apr 17, 10:05 AM EDT
Philly Fed Coincident Index Report Apr 1, 10:00 AM EDT
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